The 2025 NFL season is starting to wind down, and the projected free agent market is starting to pick things up. The Raiders have over 20 players slated to hit free agency in a slew of unrestricted, restricted, and exclusive right free agents. Contract projections for Raiders free agents have recently started to float in through multiple outlets, a brief breakdown and analyzation of the markets plus predictions.
QB Kenny Pickett
- Projection: 2 years, 8 million with 5.2 million guaranteed
Pickett has been a steady backup for the majority of his career with a 63% career completion rate, 4934 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions along with 319 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Pickett’s days as a starter are likely well past unless it’s in spot starts or cleanup. The Raiders could bring Pickett back as a backup though his contract seems rich for that.
RB Raheem Mostert
- Projection: 1 year, 1.5 million, fully guaranteed
Mostert has been a quality backup runningback and returner this season though the Raiders can easily improve off 21 attempts, 98 yards and just 67 receiving yards for their backup runningback to star Ashton Jeanty. Mostert isn’t expensive and could be back for quality depth as an RB3-4 but nothing as a 2nd guy.
RB Zamir White
- Projection: 1 year, 1.1 million with none guaranteed
White has struggled to catch on this season and likely is out of Vegas going forward and possibly playing down the end of his NFL career. White hasn’t seen the field this off-season and the Raiders clearly don’t see much in him going forward.
WR Tyler Lockett
- Projection: 1 year, 2.9 million, fully guaranteed
Lockett is tied to Pete Carroll, if Carroll returns as head coach in 2026 then it’s likely Lockett will come with. Since joining the Raiders, the 33 year old has logged 18 receptions for 201 yards. Lockett has seen his separation rate rise as well now ranking 24th in the NFL. The veteran receiver provides a high floor bottom to the room, and regardless if Carroll returns bringing him back could be a potential fit to add veteran experience for Las Vegas.
WR Alex Bachman
- Projection: 1 year, 1.1 million with none guaranteed
Bachman hasn’t seen much in his NFL career in terms of success though this year with the Raiders he’s turned in a rather solid season as a special teams gunner and returner. Bachman likely will be back regardless with a new coaching staff or not to serve as depth going into camp and special teams upside where he’s logged 6 tackles this season and just 1 miss.
TE Ian Thomas
- Projection: 1 year, 2.8 million, fully guaranteed
Thomas is never known as a top receiving TE and solely as a blocker, he’s struggled with the Raiders this year as a blocker just like most the offense however. Thomas likely will be moved off of as the Raiders look to get Carter Runyon more involved or replace him with another tight end for bottom of the roster depth at the position.
T Stone Forsythe
- Projection: 1 year, 5.5 million, with 3.8 million guaranteed
Forsythe, like Lockett and others, is tied to Pete Carrol. The former Seahawk has had his ups this season but a fair bit of struggles also allowing 10 sacks and 38 pressures along with 4 penalties. Forsythe is one of three tackles this season to allow over 10 sacks and hasn’t been as impressive with his run blocking to make up for it. Forsythe is a capable 4th tackle in the NFL but his time as a starter likely won’t be going forward. Should Carrol return, Forsythe could as well ideally as a backup tackle, if Carrol is fired then it’s likely Forsythe is gone especially at that projection figure.
IOL Dylan Parham
- Projection: 3 years, 21 million (7M AAV) with 15 million guaranteed
Parham is an intriguing option this off-season, he’s likely one of the top guards available due to a lack of talent at the position in situations. Parham has slightly regressed this season in numerous aspects and came into the year with lofty expectations and possible market. Parham has seen his ups and downs in the NFL but overall has been a quality guard and the projection showcases that going forward. Teams will likely take at that contract to fill a short term fix or add a high floor, low ceiling option to their room. The Raiders likely will move away from Parham and look to try and add younger talent or turn to Caleb Rogers as well. Parham’s market will be decent and likely net the Raiders a comp pick.
EDGE Malcolm Koonce
- Projection: 1 year, 5.8 million with 3.9 million guaranteed
Koonce hasn’t lived up to expectations this off-season, largely in part to his torn ACL recovery logging just 3 sacks, 6 TFL, 8 QB hits, a forced fumble, and 26 pressures along with a 14.9% pass rush win rate. Koonce has his ups and downs and improved as a run defender following the ACL injury. Koonce a natural athlete who succeed due to his twitch, bend, and first step quickness likely was going to need time to adjust. Year 2 recovering from the ACL will likely be back to 2023 form for Koonce. Las Vegas should look to retain Koonce as as third or fourth option and add another starter opposite of Maxx Crosby to rotate in with Koonce.
ILB Elandon Roberts
- Projection: 1 year, 4 million with 3.4 million guaranteed
Roberts has been as advertised for the Raiders this season with 72 tackles, 7 TFL, and a fumble recovery. His struggles in coverage are notable and he lacks the athletic ability to really succeed vs tight ends, running backs, and shifty receivers in open space. Roberts has been the Raiders best linebacker this season, has history as a captain, and has been a high impact early down linebacker for the Raiders and Steelers. Roberts should be brought back for depth at the position.
ILB Devin White
- Projection: 2 years, 14.5 million (7.25M AAV) with 8.7 million guaranteed
White’s production has been off the charts but his film has not been the same. White has struggled in the run game, coverage, and has lacked effort at times. He’s likely to be paid off his run defense and true production but the overall struggles in coverage and off-field are reasons to look away from bringing him back and trying to add younger, more athletic, and higher upside players this off-season.
ILB Jamal Adams
- Projection: 1 year, 3.2 million with 2.8 million guaranteed
Another former Seahawk, Adams has transitioned to a nickel linebacker role and flashed some success for Las Vegas with 35 tackles, 5 TFL, a sack, and 3 QB hits. He’s been a solid player in coverage with his experience at safety but notable as a run defender with only a 6.5% missed tackle rate. Adams has struggled at times and his age appears to be catching up with him but the Raiders linebacker does provide a stable floor to the room and could be brought back to provide a high floor depth option.
CB Eric Stokes
- Projection: 2 years, 20 million (10M AAV) with 11.5 million guaranteed
Stokes is the only real must re-sign this off-season for the Raiders, the former Packers 1st rounder has bounced back in Las Vegas and played at a high level despite his statline. He’s logged 43 tackles, 2 TFL, and just 6 pass breakups but Stokes ranks top 30 among CB’s in reception rate allowed, QBR allowed (21st), EPA added, receptions allowed, and yards allowed. He’s been a consistent starter and at just 27 years old looks to be entering a possible “prime” of his career. Stokes has stayed healthy and showcase the athletic traits that got him drafted 29th overall back in 2021. Going forward the Raiders would likely value a DB who can turn in 23 receptions allowed, 238 yards allowed, a touchdown, and just a 79.2 QBR with strong tacking even as a depth option.
CB Darnay Holmes
- Projection: 1 year, 1.1 million with none guaranteed
Darnay Holmes is tied to Patrick Graham and he’s likely on the way out of if the Raiders decide to move on from Patrick Graham. Greedy Vance has overtaken Holmes as a nickel cornerback for Las Vegas along with the big nickel roles of Jamal Adams and Jeremy Chinn. Holmes has logged just 8 snaps after allowing 2 receptions, 118 yards, and a touchdown vs Cleveland in week 12.
SAF Lonnie Johnson Jr
- Projection: 1 year, 2.8 million with 2.25 million guaranteed
Lonnie Johnson is also tied to Pete Carrol and the former 2nd rounder has seen the field a decent bit for Las Vegas this season despite missing time due to injury. He’s logged 200 snaps posting 13 tackles, a TFL, and PBU. Johnson has struggled in the run game with a 21% missed tackle rate and he’s allowed just 3 receptions for 27 yards and a 69.8 QBR. Johnson has the size and versatility to work as a nickel corner and safety which could provide a good floor for the Raiders DB room going forward if he’s retained.
K Daniel Carlson
- Projection: 1 year, 3.4 million with 1.9 million guaranteed
Carlson’s future is a little unknown as he stands just 17 for 22 on field goals including 3/6 on 50+ attempts good for a 77.3% career rate which is the lowest of his career and continues his steady decline over the last three seasons. Carlson is a former 2x All Pro kicker with 3 straight seasons of 90%+ on field goals but has converted just 83.7% of his attempts since then including 9 misses from 50+. The NFL has expanded to make 50+ field goals almost automatic and Carlson’s leg doesn’t seem able to make the adjustment. The Raiders likely will add another kicker this off-season even if they retain Carlson to try and bring out a little extra competition to maximize either’s talent.
LS Jacob Bobenmoyer
- Projection: 3 years, 4.8 million (1.6M AAV) with 4.2 million guaranteed
Bobenmoyer has been serviceable for the Raiders since signing. He’s a former Tom McMahon signing and could be tied to him while a new special teams coordinator could bring in his own guy. Overall, Bobenmoyer has been serviceable for Las Vegas and shows no reason to move on from.
Listed below are the exclusive rights free agents (ERFA) and restricted free agents (RFA) with their projected tender value, type, and any projected long term agreement if applicable.
IOL Jordan Meredith (RFA)
- Projection: 1 year, 3.45 million (right of first refusal)
- Extension: N/A
IDL Thomas Booker (RFA)
- Projection: 1 year, 5.6 million (2nd round tender)
- Extension: 2 years, 6.8 million with 4.3 million guaranteed
ERFA’s Tristin McCollum, Kyu Blu Kelly, Charles Snowden, and Will Putnam all receive a projected 1 year, 1.1 million contract tender as standard for ERFA.
