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Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.
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Week 12 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

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Saquon Barkley draws one of the week’s most favorable trench matchups, pairing his top-10 yards-before-contact profile with a Dallas defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in the same metric. Kansas City’s Hunt brings similar touchdown equity on volume alone, converting 24 of 29 short-yardage carries and owning nearly all of the Chiefs’ inside-the-5 work this season.

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Tyler Shough’s aggressive play style — including the second-highest ADOT in the NFL and strong underlying grades — creates real upside as he continues to trend upward week over week. With Atlanta allowing the second-highest yards per attempt over the last five weeks, this is a quietly favorable matchup for both Shough and the Saints offense.

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Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to beat the sportsbooks.

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Dallas appears mispriced in this matchup, with Dak Prescott well equipped to counter the tight-window looks that drive most of Philadelphia’s defensive success. On the other side, the Eagles face a tougher challenge than the market suggests, especially without Lane Johnson and against a quietly improving Cowboys pass rush.

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Drake Maye is set up for an efficient, explosive performance against a Bengals defense leaking big plays and struggling to generate pressure without Trey Hendrickson. At the same time, Detroit’s receivers draw clear matchup edges against the Giants’ corners, positioning the Lions offense for another high-ceiling outing.

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Matthew Stafford is playing at an MVP level, and the Buccaneers are struggling to stop opposing passing games.

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Utilizing the new PFF Player Prop Tool, here are two projections to target ahead of NFL Week 12 action.

