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Giants-Bears numbers don’t look good for New York

Let’s look at some of the statistics that might tell the tale on Sunday afternoon as the New York Giants face the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 10.

From NextGen Stats

  • Jaxson Dart leads the NFL with 5 games of 1+ pass touchdown and 1+ rush touchdown this season. Dart is also the only quarterback since 1970 with 1+ pass touchdown and 1+ rush touchdown in 5 of his first 6 NFL starts.
  • The Giants defense has deployed man coverage on a league-high 44.4% of their opponents’ dropbacks this season. They have faced an averaged time to throw of 2.52 seconds when playing man coverage, the 6th-quickest mark in the NFL. Caleb Williams has held onto the ball for three full seconds on average (3.00) when facing man coverage this season, the 2nd-longest in the NFL, quicker than only rookie Cam Ward (3.04 seconds). Williams has thrown 6 touchdowns without an interception against man, as each of his 4 interceptions this season have come against zone. [NOTE: This number flies in the face of the narrative that defensive coordinator Shane Bowen prefers not to use man coverage].
  • Abdul Carter has generated a team-high 20 quick pressures (under 2.5 seconds) this season, the 3rd-most in the NFL and the most by a rookie through the first nine weeks of a season since 2018. Additionally, Carter’s 20 quick pressures are over two times more than the next closest rookie this season, as Donovan Ezeiruaku ranks next closest with 9. Nik Bonitto (22) and Will Anderson Jr. (21) are the only pass rushers league-wide with more quick pressures.
  • With injuries to center John Michael Schmitz and right tackle Jermaine Eluemunor, the Giants may feature two new starters on a line that has created just 0.6 yards before contact per designed carry (5th-fewest) and let pressure reach the passer on 38.2% of dropbacks (8th-highest) this season. The right side of Eluemunor and guard Greg Van Roten, which had allowed a pressure rate of 10.8% in the first eight weeks (6th-highest), has now started rookie Marcus Mbow at tackle, who has forfeited pressure of 19.2%. The left side of the line with guard Jon Runyan and tackle Andrew Thomas has allowed a slightly lower pressure rate than the right (9.3%, 14th-highest), but Thomas has significantly regressed the last three weeks. From weeks 1-6, Thomas surrendered a pressure on just 1.7% of his pass sets (lowest, min. 50 pass blocking snaps), while from Weeks 7-9 his allowed pressure rate increased to 13.9% (4th-highest).
  • The Giants offense has gone no-huddle on at least 22% of their offensive snaps in each game since Jaxson Dart took over as the full-time starter in Week 4 against the Chargers after doing so on less than 10% of snaps in each game from Weeks 1-3. On average, they have gone no huddle on 30.4% of their snaps since Week 4, the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL, trailing only the Commanders (68.9%). In Weeks 1-3, their no huddle rate of 6.4% ranked 14th-lowest in the NFL.
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. (3) and Devin Singletary (1) have combined for 4 explosive runs (10+ yards) across 86 carries this season, resulting in an explosive run rate of 4.7%, a mark more than two times lower than the explosive run rate of 9.9% posted by Cam Skattebo prior to his season-ending injury suffered in Week 8. As a team, the Giants have recorded 26 explosive runs, including 10 combined by Jaxson Dart (7) and Russell Wilson (3) on scramble attempts. Only the Chiefs (13) and Chargers (11) have generated more explosive runs on scrambles.

Bears offense

Total Yards Per Game: 378.4 | 4th
Rushing Yards Per Game: 144.4 | 2nd
Passing Yards Per Game: 234.0 | 10th
First Downs Per Game: 20.6 | 10th
Third Down Conversion Rate: 42.86% | T-8th
Fourth Down Conversion Rate: 50% | T-21st
Red Zone – TD Rate: 51.72% | 25th
Average Time of Possession: 31:26 | 10th
Points Per Game: 26.9 | 6th

Bears defense

Total Yards Allowed Per Game: 368.8 | 26th
Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 131.1 | 25th
Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 237.6 | 25th
First Downs Allowed Per Game: 20.9 | 24th
Opponent Third Down Conversion Rate: 34.18% | 5th
Opponent Fourth Down Conversion Rate: 60% | 16th
Red Zone – Allowed TD Rate: 62.07% | 20th
Points Allowed Per Game: 28.4 | 29th

Bears special teams

Punt Return Average: 10.8 | 15th
Kickoff Return Average: 25.3 | 22nd
Field Goal Percentage: 82.61% | 17th
Opponent Punt Return Average: 11.0 | 19th
Opponent Kick Return Average: 29.0 | 30th

Giants offense

Total Yards Per Game: 322.0 | 18th
Rushing Yards Per Game: 117.9 | 14th
Passing Yards Per Game: 204.1 | 19th
First Downs Per Game: 20.4 | 12th
Third Down Conversion Rate: 40% | 14th
Fourth Down Conversion Rate: 52.94% | 19th
Red Zone – TD Rate: 50% | T-26th
Average Time of Possession: 29:49 | 19th
Points Per Game: 21.9 | 22nd

Giants defense

Total Yards Allowed Per Game: 382.1 | 29th
Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 150.0 | 31st
Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 232.1 | 24th
First Downs Allowed Per Game: 23.0 | 29th
Opponent Third Down Conversion Rate: 38.89% | 17th
Opponent Fourth Down Conversion Rate: 88.89% | 32nd
Red Zone – Allowed TD Rate: 70% | T-30th
Points Allowed Per Game: 27.7 | 28th

Giants special teams

Punt Return Average: 9.3 | T-21st
Kickoff Return Average: 27.5 | 5th
Field Goal Percentage: 91.67% | 7th
Opponent Punt Return Average: 7.9 | 9th
Opponent Kick Return Average: 23.0 | 3rd

More numbers that matter

  • Jaxson Dart is one of only three rookie quarterbacks to total 15 or more touchdowns in their first six starts.

Deshaun Watson, 2017: 18 passing | 2 rushing | 20 total
Justin Herbert, 2020: 15 passing |2 rushing | 17 total
Jaxson Dart, 2025: 10 passing | 5 rushing | 15 total

  • Dart is two rushing touchdowns shy of Daniel Jones’ record of seven rushing touchdowns by a quarterback. Jones set the mark in 2022.
  • Wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson is fourth in the NFL in 25+ yard receptions this season with seven. Robinson is third in the league in third-down receptions with 15.
  • Among NFL players who have played at least 75 defensive snaps this season, Dexter Lawrence has been double-teamed a league-leading 59.5% of the time.
  • Lawrence (99) needs one more quarterback hit to become the third Giant since QB hits became an official stat in 2006 to compile 100 or more. Justin Tuck has 120. Jason Pierre-Paul has 109.
  • Brian Burns leads the league in sacks with 11.0, and is second in tackles for loss with 14.
  • Abdul Carter leads all rookies in quarterback pressures with 34.
  • Cornerback Cor’Dale Flott returns to the lineup this week. Among defenders targeted at least 35 times this season, Flott owns the second-lowest passer rating (64.7).

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