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RB Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns

The Dolphins‘ run defense has been abysmal across the board — ranking bottom-three in EPA allowed per rush, rush success rate allowed and yards allowed per carry. With heavy winds expected in Cleveland, game flow should tilt heavily toward the ground game, especially for a Browns team ready to lean on Quinshon Judkins as a full-workload back.

With elite matchup, volume, and weather all in his favor, there’s no need to overthink it — Judkins is in a smash spot.

WR Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

We’re going back to the well with Drake London, who draws a plus matchup against a depleted 49ers secondary — one where he holds a clear advantage over any corner he lines up against.

He’s back to commanding a 30%-plus target share from Michael Penix Jr., with one of the best all-around roles in the NFL, including a dominant presence in the red zone as the Falcons’ clear No. 1 target.

In what projects to be a back-and-forth contest, expect Penix to keep looking London’s way and for the receiver to capitalize in a big way.

QB Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

It might not be flashy, but getting Jalen Hurts at plus money to score is tough to pass up. No player has more carries from inside the 1-yard line than Hurts, and he’s fifth in the NFL in rushing touchdowns since the start of last season — thanks largely to his near-automatic success in goal-to-go situations.

With the “Brotherly Shove” as potent as ever and a massive NFC matchup on deck, expect the Eagles to rely on Hurts’ legs near the goal line — whether it’s a tush-push or a designed run from deeper out.