NFL Week 4 Power Rankings: Bills jump to No. 1, Texans stumble
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- The Chargers, Colts go from strength to strength: The Chargers and Colts move to 3-0 and keep their hot starts alive.
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Estimated Reading Time: 17 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team’s market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
Chance of making playoffs: 98%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 18%
After a challenging 31-21 win against the Miami Dolphins on Thursday night, the Bills are now 3-0 and riding high. The defense still has some wrinkles to figure out, and the unit’s 63.5 overall PFF grade suggests there’s ample room for growth. But, as long as the offense is one of the best in the NFL — the group is currently third in EPA per play — then the Bills will remain contenders. Their 18% chance of winning the Super Bowl is currently the highest in the NFL.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 88%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 11%
How about that comeback from the reigning Super Bowl champions? The first half against the Rams on Sunday was a bowling-shoe ugly performance for the Eagles’ offense — but a second-half surge, led by the rarely seen Eagles passing attack in 2025, propelled Philadelphia to a 33-26 victory and a 3-0 start. A welcome back from the void to A.J. Brown, who caught six passes for 109 yards and a touchdown on a 77.6 overall PFF grade.
Chance of making playoffs: 82%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 9%
Another tough loss for the Baltimore Ravens, who the Detroit Lions felled on Monday night. The Ravens’ rushing attack has been stifled in the last two weeks, while the Lions‘ offense mostly had its way with the defense in the 38-30 loss. At 1-2, the sky isn’t falling, but for those who believed the Ravens could be near infallible in 2025, this might be a small reality check. The NFL is hard.
Chance of making playoffs: 76%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
The first speed bump for the Green Bay Packers didn’t come in the form of the fearsome Detroit Lions, nor the Washington Commanders — who made the NFC Championship Game a year ago — but instead the 0-2 Cleveland Browns. The Packers were shocked by a Browns defense that has played hard all season, holding the Packers offense to just 3.6 yards per play, as a late field goal dropped the Packers to 2-1.
5. Detroit Lions (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 71%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
The Lions have rebounded exceptionally well after their Week 1 loss to the Packers. A road win against the Ravens on Monday night is nothing to sniff at, and the offense still proved that it’s one of the best in the NFL — and currently leads the league in EPA per play. At 2-1, Detroit is still a real Super Bowl contender.
Chance of making playoffs: 66%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
So, the Chiefs finally got their opening win of the season, defeating the New York Giants 22-9 on Sunday night. While it’s all fine and well getting the monkey off your back, it’s fair to say that this Chiefs offense just doesn’t look right — aside from the quiet breakout of Tyquan Thornton, who caught five passes for 71 yards and a touchdown against the Giants, earning a 72.5 overall PFF grade. That could change when Rashee Rice returns from his six-game suspension, but the Chiefs face the Ravens, Jaguars and Lions in their next three games. There is a very real world where they’re 1-5 heading into Week 7.
Chance of making playoffs: 90%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%
The Los Angeles Chargers are 3-0 for the first time since 2002, and have ripped off three divisional wins to start the season after a 23-20 victory against the Denver Broncos. The offense has an absolute phenom in Justin Herbert at quarterback, whose 80.8 overall grade is seventh at the position, and the fact that this team is now closing out games is a huge step in the right direction. The Chargers are no longer Charger-ing — they’re surging.
Chance of making playoffs: 83%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 5%
The 49ers came out on the right side of a tough NFC West battle against the Cardinals, winning 16-15, but the news that they’ve lost edge rusher Nick Bosa for the season with a torn ACL is a tough blow. As it stands, the 49ers are already decimated by injuries through three games, but miraculously remain undefeated. Mac Jones’ contribution over the last two weeks shouldn’t go unnoticed; his 71.1 overall PFF grade is 17th among quarterbacks.
9. Washington Commanders (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 56%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
Marcus Mariota stepped in as the starter against the Raiders in place of Jayden Daniels, who missed the game with a knee sprain, and delivered a strong performance to move the Commanders to 2-1 on the season. Daniels will hopefully not be sidelined for too much longer, but if he is, Mariota showed he still has the stuff. The former second overall pick compiled an 86.5 overall PFF grade against the Raiders in a 41-24 win.
Chance of making playoffs: 59%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 4%
Depending on whether you’re an optimist or a pessimist, there are two ways to look at the Rams’ Week 3 loss to the Eagles. The optimist would say Los Angeles is just a blocked field goal away from a perfect 3-0 start. The pessimist, however, could — and should — argue that the Rams let a 19-point lead against the Super Bowl champions slip in the second half. Something that the optimist and pessimist can agree on, though? There’s a serious case to be made that Puka Nacua could be the best wide receiver in the NFL. His 91.3 overall grade leads all receivers.
Chance of making playoffs: 80%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
Everything almost changed in a flash for the Buccaneers. A routine win was shaken into 2 minutes of chaos, as the New York Jets scored two late touchdowns to take the lead before a Chase McLaughlin walk-off field goal swung the game back in Tampa Bay’s favor. The Buccaneers already lead the NFC South by two games and have a 74% chance of winning the division. Rookie receiver Emeka Egbuka looks like a gem already; his 72.5 overall PFF grade is 22nd among receivers.
Chance of making playoffs: 38%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Vikings’ defense went nuclear versus the Bengals, allowing an absolutely crazy -1.027 EPA per passing play in the 48-10 win and scoring two defensive touchdowns — courtesy of CB Isaiah Rodgers, who earned a perfect 99.9 PFF coverage grade — while making life significantly easier for a Vikings offense with Carson Wentz under center. The rout lifts the Vikings to 2-1, but a tough trip to Dublin to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers awaits.
Chance of making playoffs: 73%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 3%
The Indianapolis Colts are 3-0 for the first time since 2009, when they lost to the New Orleans Saints in the Super Bowl. Just how high can this team soar? Indianapolis put the sword to the Titans in a professional performance in Week 3. The big talking point is Jonathan Taylor, who rushed for 107 yards and three touchdowns. Taylor looks back, and his 74.3 overall grade is sixth among running backs. Next up for the Colts is a tough test against the Los Angeles Rams.
14. Denver Broncos (Down 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 40%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
Not many teams came into the season with higher expectations than the Denver Broncos, but three weeks into 2025, everything feels a little disjointed. The defense reminded everyone why it’s one of the best units in the league, ranking sixth in EPA per play allowed, but Bo Nix and the offense have struggled to find consistency. The Broncos are 1-2 and losing ground at the top of the AFC West.
15. Seattle Seahawks (Up 3)
Chance of making playoffs: 38%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
There is no higher-graded quarterback in the NFL right now than Sam Darnold, whose 91.9 overall mark leads the position. The Seahawks have gone from strength to strength over the last three weeks, and move to 2-1 after a demolition job against the Saints in Week 3. The defense is one of the best in the NFL, and the offense is a unit that may continue to surprise.
Chance of making playoffs: 57%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Jaguars do not feel like a 2-1 team, but right now, facts don’t care about your feelings. The offense has played well in flashes, but Trevor Lawrence — who has registered a 63.4 overall PFF grade through three weeks — is still trying to build a connection with Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter. The defense has surprised folks and currently sits second in EPA per play allowed. If the offense can catch up, the Jaguars could be viewed a lot more favorably in the race for the AFC South. For now, they’re hard to digest.
Chance of making playoffs: 37%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
Double jeopardy strikes the Cardinals this week; they lost a close game to a divisional rival, and also lost star running back James Conner for the rest of the season after a gruesome ankle injury. Conner has been a consistent force for the Cardinals over the last few years, and now it’s time for second-year running back Trey Benson to step up. Benson has posted a 60.4 overall grade in 2025 and ventures into the starting role against a strong Seahawks defense in Week 4.
18. Pittsburgh Steelers (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 50%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 2%
The Steelers are 2-1 after snatching a win away from the New England Patriots. It wasn’t pretty, as it hasn’t been all season, but Aaron Rodgers & Co. got the job done in a tough environment on the road. Their reward? The sole lead of the AFC North. The standout for the Steelers so far is veteran Cam Heyward, as his 90.6 overall PFF grade is second among interior defenders.
Chance of making playoffs: 15%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
That Week 3 performance against the Dallas Cowboys is the best we’ve seen the Bears offense look in the short Caleb Williams era. The question is, is it because they’ve turned a corner, and Williams — who secured a 76.8 overall PFF grade in the 31-14 win — is finally starting to show his true potential, or was it because they took on a Cowboys defense that sits 31st in EPA per play allowed? That’s something we won’t get an answer to immediately.
Chance of making playoffs: 21%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The panic meter in Houston is off the scales after a 0-3 start to the season. The offense just has not found the magic formula, and C.J. Stroud’s 64.0 overall PFF grade is 26th among quarterbacks. Stroud just isn’t seeing the field well right now, and he’s also been condemned by poor pass-blocking. The Texans have scored just 38 points through three games and are 28th in EPA per play.
Chance of making playoffs: 26%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
Losing against the Carolina Panthers is one thing, but being shut out in a 30-0 drubbing is something completely different. Just when we thought that, maybe, the Falcons could turn a corner, we get a performance like this. Week 3 proved a tough growing pains game for Michael Penix, who compiled a 27.9 overall PFF grade in the loss. One to forget.
22. Dallas Cowboys (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 12%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
Things just got a little tougher for the Dallas Cowboys. The defense has been one of the worst in the NFL through two weeks, and is 31st in EPA per play allowed, and the offense has just lost CeeDee Lamb and Tyler Booker for the next month — and maybe longer. At least Dallas has Dak Prescott, whose 90.2 overall grade is second among quarterbacks.
Chance of making playoffs: 23%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
The early returns for the new era of Raiders football are not great so far. They’ve looked less than competitive over the last two weeks after a winning start in Week 1. Maybe expectations for this team were too high, especially in a tough AFC West. Utilizing Ashton Jeanty — who has earned a 56.5 overall PFF grade through his first three NFL games — is key, but the Raiders need to be better across the board. They take on the Bears in Week 4.
24. New England Patriots (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 28%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
This was one the Patriots will regret. Any time you turn the ball over five times in a game, you’re going to struggle to come away with the victory. Despite that, there are still positives to take from the 21-14 loss to the Steelers. Harold Landry’s 88.3 overall PFF grade is seventh among edge rushers, and quarterback Drake Maye still looks like he’s going to take a big step forward in 2025 — but the bad decision-making may slow him down.
25. Miami Dolphins (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 12%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
On one hand, the Dolphins played the Bills close in a 31-21 losing effort. There was a fire in their performance that hadn’t existed through the first two games of the season, and maybe, just maybe, that’s some small crumb of hope to cling on to. On the other hand, the Dolphins are now 0-3, the defense remains one of the worst in the NFL and Tua Tagovailoa has registered just a 52.9 overall PFF grade through three games. Right now, the number of negatives is just too much to overcome.
26. Carolina Panthers (Up 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 18%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
The Panthers’ defense just shut out an opponent, and a hated division rival no less, for the first time since the 2020 season. No one expected this from a Panthers unit that was seen as one of the worst in the NFL, and was one of the lowliest defenses in history a year prior. However, Carolina waltzed to a 30-0 victory over the Falcons in Week 3, and sits eighth in EPA per play allowed. There’s some growth happening.
Chance of making playoffs: 32%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 1%
There was optimism from around the league that Jake Browning could help keep the Bengals afloat until Joe Burrow returns later in the year, especially with a 2-0 cushion to start the season. However, the Cincinnati offense ran into a buzzsaw in the form of the Vikings defense in Week 3. The Bengals won’t play a defense this stout every week, but Browning — who recorded a 64.7 overall PFF grade in the loss — needs to be better. The Bengals’ offense is 31st in EPA per play.
28. Cleveland Browns (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 13%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
Now, who saw this one coming? Admittedly, the Browns had played hard through their first two games of the season, but this Packers team had an air of something different about it. However, the Browns played out of their skin once again and came away with the upset 13-10 victory, their first of the season. The defense’s 88.0 overall grade leads the NFL. The unit is the real deal, no matter what happens this season.
29. New York Jets (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 10%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
The New York Jets were dead and buried against the Buccaneers, and then all of a sudden, they weren’t. And then they were again. Life as a Jets fan must be hard as the team starts 0-3 for the first time since 2021. If there’s anything to take from the first three weeks of the season, it’s that the Jets are fun at least. But, if you want something a little more positive, Garrett Wilson’s 76.0 overall PFF grade is seventh among receivers.
Chance of making playoffs: 4%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
The Titans have been a tough watch in 2025. Coaching decisions, clock management and bad mistakes have plagued their start to the season, and if any coach is on the hot seat right now, it’s Brian Callahan. Cam Ward still looks like he could be a star at quarterback, and Xavier Woods‘ 90.0 overall PFF grade leads all safeties. But if there’s light at the end of the tunnel, it’s pretty far away.
31. New York Giants (Down 4)
Chance of making playoffs: 1%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
All of the goodwill created in the 40-37 loss against the Cowboys in Week 2 is gone. On the heels of Russell Wilson’s 47.0 overall PFF grade in the Week 3 loss to the Chiefs, Jaxson Dart was named the Giants’ starter in Week 4 against the Chargers. The Giants still have the third-toughest remaining schedule in the league. If this regime feels like it’s scrambling for its jobs, then Dart’s play will be important.
32. New Orleans Saints (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 2%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: <1%
There’s not much to say about the Saints‘ loss to the Seahawks in Week 3. It happened fast, and it happened hard. The Seahawks led the Saints 21-0 after the first quarter and 38-6 at halftime. It could be an aberration, as the Saints have played hard through the first two weeks, or it could be a sign that this team lacks real quality. Either way, the Saints are 0-3, and their 60.1 overall PFF grade is 31st in the NFL.
