Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 3 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. My one rule: I won’t ever give you wagers that are less than -120. No gimmes!
The Giants lost a heartbreaker in Dallas in OT on Sunday, 40-37, and head back to New Jersey for their home opener after two division games on the road. Their opponent isn’t an easy one. The Chiefs have played in the last three Super Bowls, but one year after going 15-2, they’ve started 0-2, with two close losses to strong teams. The line is KC -5.5, with a game total of 44.5. It’s the Sunday night game, in prime time at MetLife, so lots of eyes will be on this contest.
What a difference a year makes. The Chiefs didn’t lose their second game last season until Week 18, with Patrick Mahomes and most other key starters sitting out. This year? It happened on September 14. K.C. was a perfect 10-0 in one score games last season and so far this season they’re 0-2 in such contests. This isn’t necessarily a must-win game for the Chiefs but the history is daunting. Teams starting 0-3 have just a 2.5% chance of making the playoffs, and Andy Reid, Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the rest definitely have Super Bowl aspirations once again.
As for Big Blue, the offense went off against the rival Cowboys last week, but the defense faltered. Still, there’s optimism after a much better effort than what we saw in Week 1.
I went 2-1 last week and my best bets are now 3-3 on the young season. Let’s get into positive territory!
Here are this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from Fanduel and are as of Friday, September 19.
- Travis Kelce OVER 4.5 receptions (-114). It’s been a rough start for Kelce, who had a pivotal bobble-turned-interception at the goal line that might have cost the Chiefs the game in their Super Bowl rematch vs. the Eagles last weekend. Kelce has just six catches across his first two games, on ten targets. The Giants have given up 13 catches to the tight end position in two games, and Kelce tends to shine under the bright lights. Take the over in a bounce-back game for the podcaster.
- Cam Skattebo OVER 9.5 rushing attempts (-114). We kept hearing out of camp how this was definitely Tyrone Tracy, Jr.’s backfield, and that’s how it looked in Week 1. But against the Cowboys, Skattebo out-snapped, out-carried, and out-performed Tracy, with Tracy getting more work in the passing game. Both backs come into this game nicked up, but both should play. I think this will be more of a grind-it-out kind of game as opposed to last week’s air-fest, and I also think Big Blue will stay in the game most of the way. Ten rushing attempts for the rookie feels attainable, after he bested that total last week.
- Fourth Quarter Spread, KC -1.5 (+100). OK, this is an odd bet for me. If the Chiefs are comfortably ahead and the Giants are playing catch-up, which is certainly possible, then they’re unlikely to cover this. But if the game is competitive to the end, I’ll put my money on the team (and Head Coach and QB) that’s won the most close games across the past few seasons, over the team that’s repeatedly fallen short in crunch time. Prove me wrong, Giants! I’d love to see Big Blue pull out a close one.
Those are the picks for Week 3. Good luck with your wagers! If you play fantasy football, make sure to check out my Week 3 Fantasy Preview, with start/sit advice and more.
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