PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 3

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PFF.com
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Week 3 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.
The tool delivers real-time projections, matchup data, hit rates and the best available odds — all in one place. It’s the same level of insight trusted by all 32 NFL teams, now at your fingertips.
Here are our analysts’ favorite bets for Week 3.

Trevor Sikkema (0-2)
WR George Pickens, Dallas Cowboys: Over 3.5 receptions (-135 DraftKings)
Pickens has already cleared this number once through two weeks and is coming off a nine-target outing against the Giants. He now draws a Bears secondary that ranks second-worst in PFF coverage grade and will be without top corner Jaylon Johnson. It’s a favorable setup for another four-plus-reception performance.

Dalton Wasserman (1-1)
RB Bijan Robinson: Over 22.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)
Robinson has been featured in Atlanta’s passing game this season and has gone over this total in each of his first two games. He has a good matchup against a Panthers linebacker unit that has earned a woeful 31.9 coverage grade through two contests.

Ben Linsey (1-1)
RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions: Over 3.5 receptions (-110 BetMGM)
The Ravens have allowed 17 receptions to running backs through two weeks, tied for the most in the NFL. Jahmyr Gibbs has already seen 13 targets this season (third-most among running backs), buoyed by a 10-target opener against Green Bay. With the Lions entering as four-plus-point underdogs and downfield throws likely tougher to come by than last week vs. Chicago, Gibbs profiles for another active day as a receiver.

Mason Cameron (0-2)
QB Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys: Over 259.5 passing yards (-112 DraftKings)
Prescott has been sharp to start the season, earning the second-highest PFF passing grade (88.0) after a 361-yard showing in Week 2. He now faces a depleted Bears secondary that ranks dead last in PFF coverage grade and just allowed five passing touchdowns to Jared Goff. With Chicago surrendering a 60% completion rate on passes thrown 10 or more yards downfield, Prescott — who leads the league with nine big-time throws — is set up for another explosive outing.

Max Chadwick (0-2)
RB Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans: Under 2.5 receptions (-150 BetMGM)
Pollard hasn’t recorded three or more catches in a game since Week 13 of last season, and his passing-game role remains limited in 2025. Through two weeks, he’s managed just one reception on two targets. With the Colts allowing only eight catches to running backs so far (18th in the NFL) and rookie quarterback Cam Ward showing strong chemistry with fellow rookie Elic Ayomanor, it’s unlikely Pollard breaks that trend this week.

Gordon McGuinness (0-2)
WR Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens: Under 37.5 receiving yards (-115 BetMGM)
The concern here is that this game could easily turn into a shootout, forcing Lamar Jackson into a high-volume passing script. Detroit has played man coverage on 31.0% of dropbacks through two weeks — ninth-most in the league. Since the start of 2024, Rashod Bateman has drawn a target once every 6.4 snaps vs. man coverage, compared to Zay Flowers’ 3.9. Bateman is more of a deep-zone threat, averaging 17.7 yards per reception against zone, compared to 13.8 yards against man.
