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Better or worse in 2025? New York Giants quarterbacks

Better or worse in 2025? New York Giants quarterbacks
Russell Wilson (center) with Aaron Judge of the Yankees.
Photo by Michael Mooney/MLB Photos via Getty Images

As we complete our position-by-position “better or worse?” examination of the New York Giants’ offense we have reached the final and most important position — quarterback.

We are going to dispense with the standard “better or worse?” argument. The Giants are clearly better, positioned both with a better short-term signal-caller in Russell Wilson and a potential long-term answer in Jaxson Dart.

So, the question is not “are they better?”

The short-term question is “have they improved enough for it to matter in 2025?” The long-term question is “have they bet on the right horse to carry the franchise into the future?”

Short term

Russell Wilson isn’t everyone’s cup of tea. When he became head coach of the Denver Broncos Sean Payton clearly wanted to move on from Wilson. While, statistically, he played well enough for the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2024, it seems that not everyone in Pittsburgh was on the Wilson train.

While the comparison is not perfect, Wilson’s career is somewhat reminiscent of that of former Giants great Eli Manning. While Manning stayed with the Giants for the entirety of his 16-year career and Wilson has become an NFL nomad, both players’ careers were far more successful in the first half than in the second half.

Even in the back half of Wilson’s career, though, he has been better than Daniel Jones. Check out the table below from rbsdm.com charting quarterback efficiency from Jones’ rookie season in 2019 through 2024. It is sorted by Expected Points Added (EPA) per play, and clearly shows Wilson being more effective than Jones.

QB Efficiency, 2019-2024

Player Team Plays EPA+CPOE composite Adj. EPA/play EPA/play Success rate Cmp% Expected cmp% CPOE Air yards
Player Team Plays EPA+CPOE composite Adj. EPA/play EPA/play Success rate Cmp% Expected cmp% CPOE Air yards
B.Purdy 1299 0.161 0.267 0.254 53.30% 69.9 66.9 3 8.1
P.Mahomes 4252 0.153 0.248 0.238 52.40% 70.1 67.3 2.8 7.4
J.Allen 4297 0.138 0.214 0.206 51.80% 67.7 65.2 2.5 8.8
J.Daniels 699 0.141 0.206 0.202 49.40% 71.8 68.3 3.5 7.4
L.Jackson 3543 0.135 0.207 0.196 50.40% 67.9 65.6 2.4 8.8
R.Tannehill 2277 0.13 0.189 0.17 51.60% 68.6 65.8 2.8 8.1
D.Prescott 3193 0.122 0.186 0.169 51.30% 68.7 67.2 1.5 8.2
J.Garoppolo 1865 0.118 0.184 0.167 50.30% 69.4 68.4 1 7
A.Rodgers 3202 0.123 0.179 0.166 48.60% 68.6 66.4 2.2 7.9
T.Brady 2965 0.115 0.175 0.16 49.00% 67.8 66.8 0.9 8
J.Love 1254 0.11 0.17 0.157 47.80% 65.7 65.2 0.5 8.7
J.Burrow 3064 0.133 0.176 0.157 50.50% 70.9 66.6 4.3 7.5
J.Hurts 2825 0.117 0.16 0.146 48.40% 68.9 66.4 2.5 8.4
T.Tagovailoa 2364 0.118 0.164 0.145 50.00% 70.1 67.6 2.5 7.7
J.Herbert 3484 0.101 0.148 0.137 48.40% 68.5 68 0.5 7.4
M.Stafford 3167 0.099 0.155 0.133 49.50% 67.2 67.8 -0.6 8.3
K.Cousins 3402 0.114 0.151 0.128 49.10% 70.5 67.9 2.6 7.7
D.Carr 3425 0.109 0.142 0.118 47.60% 70.7 68.5 2.3 8.1
T.Bridgewater 1426 0.11 0.13 0.117 48.70% 71 67.8 3.2 7.6
J.Goff 3842 0.1 0.138 0.115 49.00% 70.1 69.4 0.8 7
M.Mariota 786 0.089 0.124 0.113 48.90% 65.2 65.4 -0.2 9.4
B.Mayfield 3539 0.082 0.111 0.098 46.80% 66 66.5 -0.5 8.1
K.Murray 3582 0.09 0.111 0.094 47.70% 70 69.1 0.9 7.5
B.Nix 702 0.081 0.093 0.09 45.30% 68.9 68.3 0.6 7.4
D.Watson 2092 0.094 0.103 0.088 47.40% 68.8 66.6 2.2 8.5
R.Wilson 3494 0.105 0.1 0.081 46.50% 69.1 64.8 4.3 8.6
G.Smith 2145 0.104 0.092 0.078 49.00% 71.7 66.9 4.8 7.3
N.Mullens 602 0.091 0.11 0.075 47.50% 68.3 67.2 1.1 7.4
J.Winston 1513 0.079 0.104 0.067 47.50% 62.8 63.4 -0.6 10.1
C.Stroud 1250 0.064 0.065 0.055 44.70% 66.5 67.3 -0.8 8.6
J.Brissett 1550 0.063 0.065 0.053 46.70% 65.2 66.2 -1 7.9
T.Lawrence 2453 0.063 0.065 0.052 48.20% 65.5 66.4 -0.9 8
M.Rudolph 813 0.065 0.054 0.043 44.90% 66.7 66.5 0.3 7.8
C.Wentz 2346 0.048 0.041 0.026 45.80% 63.8 65.8 -2.1 8.2
T.Taylor 525 0.065 0.037 0.024 44.40% 67.2 65.9 1.3 8.1
M.Trubisky 1372 0.051 0.027 0.015 47.40% 66.1 66.7 -0.6 8.2
G.Minshew II 2101 0.051 0.035 0.013 44.60% 67 68.1 -1.1 7.4
K.Pickett 949 0.046 0.011 0.007 44.60% 65.6 66.1 -0.5 7.5
M.Jones 1861 0.054 0.028 0.003 45.40% 67.9 68 0 7.8
A.Dalton 1974 0.046 0.031 0.001 46.10% 65.9 67.7 -1.8 7.5
T.Heinicke 1120 0.048 0.021 0.001 45.80% 65.3 66 -0.7 8.2
D.Jones 2961 0.051 0.021 -0.001 45.80% 67.2 67.5 -0.3 7.3
S.Darnold 2405 0.052 0.017 -0.003 45.80% 66.4 66.1 0.2 8.2
J.Fields 1746 0.045 0.01 -0.006 43.60% 64.8 65.4 -0.6 8.6
D.Maye 459 0.067 0.018 -0.007 47.50% 69.9 67 2.8 7.6
D.Lock 1155 0.027 0.023 -0.008 42.90% 61.6 66.2 -4.6 8.2
J.Flacco 1252 0.045 0.018 -0.014 44.10% 64.6 65.7 -1.1 8.5
A.Richardson 494 -0.014 -0.012 -0.024 41.30% 53.3 63.4 -10.1 11.3
C.Williams 750 0.039 -0.017 -0.026 41.60% 67.2 67.3 -0.1 7.9
A.O’Connell 670 0.019 -0.018 -0.026 43.60% 66.2 70 -3.8 7.8
C.Rush 630 0.003 -0.018 -0.039 42.90% 62 68.6 -6.6 7.5
T.Huntley 668 0.039 -0.033 -0.044 41.90% 67.8 67.1 0.6 7.7
M.White 356 0.015 -0.003 -0.046 45.80% 62.8 68.1 -5.3 7
K.Allen 802 0.035 -0.018 -0.053 46.30% 66.4 67.2 -0.8 7.9
C.Keenum 460 0.023 -0.029 -0.06 46.30% 65.8 68.2 -2.4 6.7
D.Ridder 734 0.024 -0.045 -0.073 44.80% 66.4 68 -1.6 8.1
J.Dobbs 703 0.024 -0.052 -0.078 42.80% 65.9 67.2 -1.3 7.7
D.Mills 1121 0.01 -0.071 -0.092 40.90% 64.8 68.1 -3.3 7.5
C.McCoy 404 0.028 -0.081 -0.092 41.10% 69.4 69.2 0.2 6.6
S.Howell 806 0.022 -0.062 -0.094 42.30% 66.2 67.5 -1.3 7.2
N.Foles 581 0.032 -0.073 -0.096 40.40% 67.6 66.8 0.8 7.9
B.Young 1135 0.025 -0.075 -0.1 40.10% 65.7 66.3 -0.5 8.1
B.Allen 360 -0.018 -0.089 -0.104 41.40% 59.5 67.5 -8 7.1
W.Levis 716 0.026 -0.069 -0.112 40.10% 62.9 63.3 -0.4 9.8
T.Siemian 440 -0.012 -0.109 -0.15 39.50% 60.7 67.3 -6.6 6.6
Z.Wilson 1233 -0.011 -0.143 -0.161 38.80% 60.9 67.1 -6.3 7.9
B.Zappe 407 0.011 -0.18 -0.216 37.10% 65 67.5 -2.5 7.7
P.Walker 406 -0.025 -0.205 -0.233 36.70% 55.9 65.1 -9.2 8.5

Those numbers, while perhaps not spectacular, make Wilson the best starting quarterback the Giants have had since Manning.

The same chart for 2024 shows Wilson performing better than Jones, though perhaps not by a massive margin, and performing far better than Drew Lock.

QB Efficiency 2024

Player Team Plays EPA+CPOE composite Adj. EPA/play EPA/play Success rate Cmp% Expected cmp% CPOE Air yards
Player Team Plays EPA+CPOE composite Adj. EPA/play EPA/play Success rate Cmp% Expected cmp% CPOE Air yards
J.Allen 638 0.171 0.332 0.321 52.20% 66.9 66 0.8 8.4
L.Jackson 653 0.184 0.31 0.296 52.40% 69.6 65.1 4.6 8.8
J.Goff 603 0.189 0.303 0.292 54.10% 76.5 70.8 5.7 6.6
J.Burrow 776 0.169 0.232 0.212 53.20% 73.2 66.5 6.8 7.2
B.Mayfield 697 0.147 0.222 0.209 52.40% 72.4 68.8 3.6 6.9
J.Daniels 699 0.141 0.206 0.202 49.40% 71.8 68.3 3.5 7.4
T.Tagovailoa 451 0.145 0.214 0.2 53.20% 75 71.2 3.8 5.8
B.Purdy 570 0.133 0.208 0.198 51.80% 68.2 66.1 2.1 8.7
J.Love 485 0.127 0.211 0.192 49.10% 65.2 64.6 0.6 9
P.Mahomes 695 0.124 0.178 0.165 50.90% 70.9 68.3 2.6 6.4
J.Herbert 627 0.116 0.166 0.164 47.40% 68.5 66.5 1.9 8.6
J.Hurts 552 0.149 0.171 0.161 50.20% 74.3 66.7 7.5 7.9
K.Murray 682 0.116 0.161 0.15 51.30% 71.4 69.3 2.1 7
D.Carr 318 0.122 0.162 0.149 43.70% 72.1 68.9 3.3 8.2
S.Darnold 687 0.121 0.151 0.127 50.90% 70.2 66.4 3.9 8.7
M.Stafford 594 0.087 0.126 0.118 50.50% 68 68.7 -0.7 7.5
J.Fields 251 0.1 0.116 0.107 47.00% 69.7 67.3 2.4 7.9
B.Nix 702 0.081 0.093 0.09 45.30% 68.9 68.3 0.6 7.4
G.Smith 713 0.11 0.094 0.075 48.70% 73.5 67.8 5.6 7.1
K.Cousins 524 0.084 0.094 0.065 49.20% 69.3 68.4 1 7.7
A.Rodgers 679 0.059 0.079 0.057 44.30% 64.8 67.4 -2.6 6.8
T.Lawrence 334 0.06 0.058 0.054 45.50% 63.2 64.2 -1 9.3
M.Rudolph 279 0.071 0.07 0.049 49.50% 68.2 68 0.2 7.5
J.Flacco 291 0.08 0.082 0.049 47.40% 66.9 65.9 1.1 8.9
R.Wilson 416 0.084 0.041 0.019 43.30% 69.9 65.5 4.5 7.8
D.Prescott 341 0.05 0.028 0.018 44.30% 66.8 67.6 -0.9 7.9
B.Young 475 0.054 0.015 0.008 41.90% 65.2 64.5 0.7 8.7
M.Jones 315 0.044 0.006 0.002 43.50% 68.4 68.9 -0.5 7.6
D.Maye 459 0.067 0.018 -0.007 47.50% 69.9 67 2.8 7.6
C.Stroud 656 0.036 0.001 -0.007 42.40% 66 67.7 -1.7 8.2
A.O’Connell 284 0.023 -0.006 -0.01 45.40% 66.4 70 -3.6 7.8
J.Winston 354 0.047 0.035 -0.016 44.90% 62.8 64.6 -1.8 9.1
D.Jones 450 0.053 0 -0.02 46.20% 68.1 66.7 1.5 7.5
C.Williams 750 0.039 -0.017 -0.026 41.60% 67.2 67.3 -0.1 7.9
A.Richardson 372 -0.025 -0.035 -0.051 40.60% 50.6 61.5 -10.9 12.3
C.Rush 362 -0.013 -0.049 -0.082 42.00% 61.7 69.8 -8.1 6.9
G.Minshew II 370 0.033 -0.056 -0.113 45.40% 72.2 71.7 0.5 6.2
D.Lock 217 -0.006 -0.076 -0.141 42.40% 61.8 67.9 -6.1 6.6
J.Brissett 202 0.008 -0.141 -0.157 41.60% 63.3 66.2 -2.9 6.4
W.Levis 403 0.022 -0.115 -0.173 38.20% 65.1 65.5 -0.4 9
S.Rattler 285 -0.025 -0.191 -0.219 38.90% 61 70.1 -9.1 7.7
D.Watson 298 0.014 -0.222 -0.233 34.60% 65.2 67.5 -2.2 7.2

Wilson was also superior to all of the Giants’ quarterbacks in touchdown percentage, interception rate, passer rating, yards per attempt, yards per completion (by 2 full yards) and net yards per pass attempt.

Wilson and his infamous “moon ball” are also in play. On passes of more than 20 yards, Wilson led the NFL in completion percentage (54%) and passer rating (97.3). While Wilson completed 27 of 50 such throws, Jones completed just 8 of 31 (25.8%), 37th in the NFL. Lock completed 4 of 23, a 17.4% completion rate that placed him last among 42 qualifiers.

GM Joe Schoen and head coach Brian Daboll have gone all-in on the idea that quarterback play has been the biggest deficiency on an offense that was 30th in scoring in 2023 and 31st in 2024 in a 32-team league. The quarterback change is the only significant personnel move made on the offensive side of the ball.

Could the level of quarterback play Wilson provided in 2024 have turned a three-win season into a six- or seven-win season? Perhaps.

More importantly, against a brutal schedule considered the most difficult in the league, can the level of play Wilson is capable of providing help the Giants avoid a repeat of 2024? That, of course, is to be determined.

If it can’t, the Giants’ future at the position could start sooner rather than later.

Long term

This one should be obvious. The Giants are in the best long-term position at quarterback they have been in since they drafted Jones, because they now finally have a long-awaited long-term option other than Jones.

Nobody knows what the future holds for Jaxson Dart. Maybe he will be the answer. Maybe the Giants will regret not drafting J.J. McCarthy last year. Maybe they will regret not waiting for Garrett Nussmeier or Arch Manning next year.

I am not going to make a prediction about Dart’s future or offer deep analysis here. You can check the podcasts below for some of that. The simple fact that he is in place is a step in the right direction for the Giants.

More coverage

Position-by-position looks at the defense are upcoming.

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