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Data-backed NFL Bets: A top-down approach to beating the market on Thanksgiving Day

Each week, we’ll focus on one game and use a top-down strategy to break it down. This means starting with the bigger picture and then finding the best ways to apply that information to betting markets.


Many NFL bettors start by looking at individual markets — like spreads, totals, teasers or props — and ask, “Which spread looks good?” or “What totals stand out this week?” This is a bottom-up approach, where you focus on specific bets first.

In this space, we’ll take a different approach. Each week, we’ll focus on one game and use a top-down strategy to break it down. This means starting with the bigger picture — how teams, players or trends are performing — and then finding the best ways to apply that information to different betting markets.

While some of our bets may focus on traditional markets, like spreads or totals, we’ll often explore other opportunities to maximize value.

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

Recent Post

  • All Post
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Buffalo Bills
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Denver Broncos
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Indianapolis Colts
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Las Vegas Raiders
  • Los Angeles Rams
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  • Minnesota Vikings
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  • New York Jets
  • NFL News
  • Pro Football Focus
  • Seahawks
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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