Which bets do you like the most?
Before the eleventh Sunday of the 2024 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the lines for the Week 11 games.
You can CLICK HERE for straight up NFL picks without regard to the spread. You can find all of the NFL betting lines via FanDuel.
My overall record is 71-79-2, which is well behind the collective BGN community at 83-67-2. I’ve been riding the struggle bus.
Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds.
NFL WEEK 11 PICKS AGAINST THE SPREAD
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at DETROIT LIONS (-13.5): Seven of the Jags’ games this season have been decided by one score. And they’re 1-6 straight up in those. The Jags have been unlucky and they’re due for some good fortune here. PICK: Jaguars +13.5
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-5.5) at CHICAGO BEARS: The Bears have lost four straight games. They’re bad. The Packers are well-rested coming off their bye. PICK: Packers -5.5
LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3.5) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Interesting. Doesn’t seem like a great situation for the Rams since they’re a West Coast team making a 1:00 PM start across the country … while coming off short rest from playing on Monday. The Pats don’t quite have the horses to be great but they have been feisty. PICK: Patriots +3.5
CLEVELAND BROWNS (-1.5) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: The Saints’ win last week was a classic case of the immediate interim head coach bump. They’ll fall back to Earth here. Plus, I think Jameis Winston’s teammates like him and want him to get a win against his former squad. And Cleveland is coming off their bye. PICK: Browns -1.5
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-5.5) at TENNESSEE TITANS: Sam Darnold is turning back into a pumpkin and he’s going up against a solid defense. But Will Levis has been pretty brutal. Brian Flores can probably force him into some turnovers. PICK: Vikings -5.5
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at NEW YORK JETS (-3.5): The Jets are so bad, man. Putting any trust in them feels foolish. Maybe Anthony Richardson’s benching will help him play better? PICK: Colts +3.5
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS at MIAMI DOLPHINS (-7): The Dolphins have been much more competent since Tua Tagovailoa’s return. The Raiders have been more bad than good. PICK: Dolphins -7
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-3) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS: You’d have to be insane to bet against Mike Tomlin as a home underdog. He’s 19-6-3 against the spread in those situations since he was hired in 2007. No team has a better cover percentage in that span. PICK: Steelers +3
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-6.5): The Seahawks are an unserious team that can’t hang with the big boys. The Niners may have found their footing after winning their last two. PICK: 49ers -6.5
ATLANTA FALCONS at DENVER BRONCOS (-1.5): The Broncos rank better than the Falcons in DVOA and point differential. Denver should be favored by more. This is a steal. PICK: Broncos -1.5
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at BUFFALO BILLS (-2.5): I’m not believing the Chiefs lose until I see it happen. I’ll take Patrick Mahomes getting points all day. PICK: Chiefs +2.5
CINCINNATI BENGALS at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-1.5): The Bengals are more rested coming off their mini-bye. They’re a better team than their record indicates and that much has to eventually translate into more wins. Getting Tee Higgins back should help. PICK: Bengals +1.5
HOUSTON TEXANS (-7.5) at DALLAS COWBOYS: The Cowboys are ass. PICK: Texans -7.5
