The margin for error is gone. Another loss for the Indianapolis Colts in the 2025 season would mark the end. Things are looking dire, but not all hope is lost. They have tough games ahead of them, but they have the best possible games too. The schedule lines up perfectly with what they are trying to accomplish, and while there will be many factors in play that will make it difficult to predict where everything will land, the Colts still have a shot.
Obviously, it all starts this week with the 49ers on Monday Night Football. Not to look past this game as it will be incredibly difficult, but without that win, the rest of this is moot. If Philip Rivers and the Colts can find a way to squeak out a win at home over one of the better teams in the NFC, things get good. A home game against the Jaguars on December 28th looms. Before that, the Jaguars are on the road against the top seeded Broncos. There is a real possibility they drop that one giving them five losses on the year. The Colts can’t beat the Jaguars in Jacksonville but have had success in Indianapolis. Pulling that game off, coupled with a loss in Denver, the Jaguars would be statistically tied at 10-6 and 3-2 in the division. With one more game in the division and both needing a win, we would start to go down the tie breaker rules to decide this one.
Ok, so the Jaguars lost to the Broncos and the Colts beat the 49ers and Jaguars. What’s next? The Texans. They are one game up with the tie breaker over the Colts. They have a cupcake game against the Raiders but then travel to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers who are fighting for a Wild Card. That is the game the Colts hope they drop because these two teams meet the last week of the season in Houston. The Colts would still have to win week eighteen but they would outright pass the Texans instead of needing tie breakers. If the Texans beat the Chargers but lose to the Colts, both teams would sit at 11-6. Same scenario as the Jaguars except there could be a three way tie for the division and a remaining Wild Card spot. What a mess.
A mess is what the Colts want at this point. To create it, they must win out. There is nothing easy about that but it isn’t impossible either. Two home games. One on the road. Two of the teams they know well and have already seen this year. They lost both but could be primed for a bounce back. Unfortunately, some of this is out of the Colts’ hands. The Jaguars are in the driver’s seat, but a stumble on the road could open the door for the Colts. All hope is not lost. Yes, it is dwindling, but the Colts could still make some noise this season.
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