NFL Week 15 Betting: Prop bets to target
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These are some of the best player prop bets to target in Week 15 for the 2025 NFL season.
QB Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers: Under 30.5 pass attempts (-101)
Although Purdy has generally been a high-volume passer throughout his career, that hasn’t been the case since his return from injury. Across his three most recent games, Purdy has averaged 29 attempts and exceeded this line just once. Whether that’s due to rust or lingering symptoms remains irrelevant. It more likely stems from the fact that there hasn’t been a need to throw the ball, as the 49ers have posted a 16-point average victory margin over that span.
With San Francisco laying 12.5 points at home, the market frames this game as another matchup where the 49ers will be playing from far ahead. It’s understandable, considering the Titans’ 529 defensive plays while trailing rank as the second most in the NFL this season. Just five of the 13 passers the Titans have faced have surpassed this threshold.
Purdy can be effective and efficient as a passer in this game, helping to build an early lead without the need to pile up attempts. This Titans‘ coverage unit has struggled to limit chunk yardage downfield, having allowed the third-highest percentage of passes 15 yards or more and the second-highest passing yards per attempt on average (7.97).
WR Mitchell Tinsley, Cincinnati Bengals: Over 2.5 receptions (+116)
With Tee Higgins ruled out due to concussion protocol, Tinsley is in line for an increased role in Week 15. With that boost in snap share comes an increase in opportunities to pile up targets. Tinsley’s 19 targets when Higgins is off the field rank as the second most among Bengals players, a mark that included nine targets when Higgins was last inactive in Week 13. In that matchup, Tinsley was targeted on more than 28% of routes, the highest by any Bengals pass catcher with at least 10 routes run.
This second battle against the Ravens projects as a plus matchup for Tinsley to again find opportunities to exploit a struggling coverage unit. Baltimore ranks 26th in receptions allowed to receivers, due in large part to their struggles at outside cornerback.
Marlon Humphrey owns just a 41.6 PFF coverage grade, and opposing offenses have taken full advantage of those issues, with Humphrey charting as one of two players being targeted in coverage on more than 20% of their snaps (minimum 100 coverage snaps at outside cornerback). Tinsley has a great opportunity to excel in this matchup on the outside.
