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QB Film Review: Trevor Lawrence has found his groove, and the Jaguars are surging

Trevor Lawrence is playing his best football of the season, stacking back-to-back elite performances as the Jaguars seize control of the AFC South. The film shows a far more confident, decisive quarterback — one who’s pushing the ball downfield, beating pressure with timing, and finally looking like the player capable of carrying Jacksonville deep into January.


QB Film Review: Trevor Lawrence has found his groove, and the Jaguars are surging

QB Film Review: Trevor Lawrence has found his groove, and the Jaguars are surging

  • Trevor Lawrence is peaking at the right time: The former No. 1 overall pick earned a 90.2 PFF overall grade in Week 14, the second-highest single-game mark of his career. He has now stacked two impressive outings in a row and is the second-highest graded quarterback over the last two weeks.
  • It’s all coming together: In the first four weeks, Lawrence recorded zero big-time throws and an average depth of target of just 7.9 yards — 21st in the NFL. Since then, he has produced 18 big-time throws and raised his average depth of target to 10.0 yards, both ranking top-five over that span.
  • Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.

Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars took control of the AFC South after a dominant 36-19 win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 14. Lawrence delivered arguably his best performance of the season, and now the Jaguars offense is starting to roll as we head into the final stretch of the season.

The former No. 1 overall pick earned a 90.2 PFF overall grade, the second-highest single-game mark of his career. He has now stacked two impressive outings in a row and is the second-highest graded quarterback over the last two weeks.

It took Lawrence a few weeks to get comfortable in this new Jaguars offense, but after a slow start, he has settled in — and that comfort has resulted in him pushing the ball downfield more frequently.

In the first four weeks, Lawrence recorded zero big-time throws and an average depth of target of just 7.9 yards — 21st in the NFL. Since then, he has produced 18 big-time throws and raised his average depth of target to 10.0 yards, both ranking top-five over that span.

That trend continued against the Colts, when he recorded four big-time throws and logged his fourth straight game with an average depth of target above 10.0 yards.

Lawrence is playing with extreme confidence right now, and it shows in every layer of his downfield passing.

Another place that confidence shows up is in how quickly he’s getting the ball out. In Week 14, he earned the third-highest PFF overall grade and also led all quarterbacks in average depth of target on throws released in under 2.5 seconds.

The throw above is a perfect example of Lawrence’s quick decision-making. The Colts show a two-high shell pre-snap before rotating to single-high Cover-3, and Jacksonville has “Hoss” called to both sides — a stick route outside paired with a seam inside, which can stress Cover-3 if the quarterback identifies it immediately.

Lawrence does exactly that. He sees the rotating safety hesitate and stay high to protect the seam, and once the backside safety drives to the middle of the field, he fires the seam on time for a huge gain on second-and-long.

Drops have been a major obstacle to telling the full story of Lawrence’s season. His receivers have dropped 33 passes — the most of any receiving corps in the NFL.

The Jaguars dropped another three passes in Week 14, and this throw was one of Lawrence’s best of the day — a perfect rep that goes down as an incompletion in the box score, but still earns a positive grade in PFF’s system.

The Colts show a heavy pressure look that has become increasingly popular around the league: crowd the line of scrimmage, disguise who’s rushing and who’s dropping, and force the offense to solve protections on the fly. These looks speed up quarterbacks mentally, and when defenses bail out of them post-snap, they can actually slow a quarterback’s internal clock because it feels like more time has opened up.

Lawrence doesn’t fall for any of it. He recognizes the Colts dropping into coverage, understands that the underneath defenders must sprint to depth, and knows the ball has to come out immediately. He hits the top of his drop and throws with anticipation and pinpoint accuracy just before the receiver makes his break — and it’s dropped.

Trevor Lawrence’s career has been a rollercoaster, marked by stretches of brilliant play followed by frustrating inconsistency. That’s what makes this recent run so important. It still hasn’t been a perfectly steady season, but over the last few weeks the film shows a far more confident, decisive version of Lawrence. If he continues playing at this level, there’s no reason the Jaguars can’t win the division and make real noise in the AFC.

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

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