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Best bets for NFL Week 11

Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.


Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.

To dig even deeper into the numbers behind these picks — including advanced grades, matchup tools and betting dashboards — make sure you’re subscribed to PFF+, where all of our premium data lives.

Best bets for NFL Week 11

NFL Week 11 anytime touchdown bets

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Anytime touchdown bets are always a fan favorite — but instead of guessing, you can lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise.

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Data-backed NFL bets: Chicago Bears -5.5 carries value in Week 11

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J.J. McCarthy has struggled badly on plays with no disruption, failing to generate positive EPA even when the league baseline is 0.3. With the Vikings defense overrated and Caleb Williams positioned to succeed against the blitz, this matchup is far less favorable for a quarterback who has consistently destroyed too many clean-play opportunities.

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Matchups to target for NFL Week 11 betting

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Mahomes has returned to one of the highest scrambling rates in the NFL this year and is producing at his usual level when he takes off. That should lead to plenty of offensive success, making the Chiefs, their team-total overs, alternate lines and Mahomes props appealing in Week 11.

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NFL Week 11 same-game parlays

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A.J. Brown has been one of the league’s most effective receivers against man coverage, and Jalen Hurts has produced nearly 0.5 EPA per play more when facing man than zone. With Detroit playing heavy man coverage without the personnel to match up, this creates a strong setup for an Eagles passing-focused build featuring Hurts, Brown and Eagles -1.5.

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NFL Week 11 Betting: Prop bets to target

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Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to beat the sportsbooks.

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PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 11

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Week 11 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

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Sunday Night Football: Week 11 Lions-Eagles betting preview (odds, lines, best bets)

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Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown has had a tough season, but he thrives against man coverage — which the Lions run at the second-highest rate in the NFL.

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

Recent Post

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  • Atlanta Falcons
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