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PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 11

Week 11 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.


PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 11

PFF Bets of the Week: NFL Week 11

By

PFF.com

Week 11 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.

The tool delivers real-time projections, matchup data, hit rates and the best available odds all in one place. It’s the same level of insight trusted by all 32 NFL teams, now at your fingertips.

Here are our analysts’ favorite bets for Week 11.

Trevor Sikkema (6-4)

RB Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams: Over 13.5 rush attempts (-105 BetMGM)

The reason this line sits where it does is that Blake Corum’s workload has increased over the last three weeks, as he has averaged 12.6 carries per game in that span. However, Williams has still reached this number in seven of his last 10 games, and the team will continue to rely on him to maintain possession and keep the Seahawks offense off the field.

Dalton Wasserman (5-5)

Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles: Under 33.5 rushing yards (-118 Bet MGM)

Hurts hasn’t eclipsed this total since Week 4, and Philadelphia has placed less emphasis on designed quarterback runs in recent weeks. While Detroit has struggled to contain running quarterbacks in the past, the highest rushing total it has allowed to any quarterback this season is 35 yards, which came from Lamar Jackson in Week 2.

Ben Linsey (8-2)

TE Greg Dulcich, Miami Dolphins: Over 24.5 receiving yards (-108 Draftkings)

Dulcich’s snap share has increased from 28% in Week 8 to 60% last week against Buffalo as he steps into a larger role with Darren Waller sidelined. He draws a matchup this week against a Commanders defense that has allowed 9.8 yards per target to opposing tight ends, the third-highest mark in the NFL. One of the weaker points of this Washington defense is its linebackers’ ability to work in space in coverage, an area the Mike McDaniel tree of offenses can exploit.

Mason Cameron (3-6-1)

TE Trey McBride, Arizona Cardinals: Over 7.5 receptions (+112 FanDuel)

There is no confusion about who Jacoby Brissett’s favorite weapon is. Since Brissett became the starter in Week 6, Trey McBride has recorded eight or more receptions in three of his four games, supported by a team-leading 26.7% target rate. With Zay Jones (Achilles) out for the year and Marvin Harrison Jr. (appendicitis) set to miss this one, the target concentration should narrow even further.

Without Fred Warner, the 49ers have significantly struggled to cover tight ends, and teams have taken advantage.

Max Chadwick (4-5-1)

QB Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears: Over 4.5 rush attempts (-125 Fanatics)

Williams recorded 13 rushing attempts over the past two weeks against the Giants and Bengals, and he is averaging more than five attempts per game this season. This matchup against the Vikings could also force him to use his legs. Williams ran six times against Minnesota during Chicago’s loss in Week 1, and the Vikings lead the league in pressure rate (44.6%) and blitz rate (59.3%), which means he may need to rely on his mobility more than usual.

Gordon McGuinness (3-6-1)

RB Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland Browns: Under 70.5 rushing yards (-113 Caesars)

Judkins has gone over this total in five of eight games this season and is clearly the Browns’ primary ball carrier. However, the lean here is that Cleveland is a heavy underdog and could find itself in a negative game script that forces more passing. The Ravens have also been far better against the run since their defensive adjustment that moved Kyle Hamilton closer to the line of scrimmage, and no running back has cleared this total against them since Week 3.

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

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