• Starts of the Week, not sit-your-studs: This is a list of players poised to beat expectations, accompanied by my confidence rating at the end of each outlook. Use them to win close decisions, not to bench superstars.

• Tre Tucker in a bounce-back spot: With Jakobi Meyers gone, Tucker gets to face a Dallas secondary that has been taken advantage of all season. Dallas currently ranks 31st in team coverage grade, allowing 40.5 PPR points per game to opposing receivers.

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Quarterbacks

Joe Flacco, Cincinnati Bengals

Flacco takes on the Steelers this week in a matchup where he has already tormented their defense once this season. Just three weeks ago, Flacco threw for more than 340 yards and three touchdowns against this Steelers secondary.

If the Bengals’ offensive line can keep the Steelers’ pass rush in check, as it did in Week 9, the Flacco-to–Ja’Marr Chase connection should be in full swing on Sunday.

Confidence Level: Mid-tier QB1, high-end upside

Sam Darnold, Seattle Seahawks

On paper, this does not appear to be a great matchup for Sam Darnold, who is coming off a QB26 finish in Week 10. However, in a divisional matchup against the Rams, where Darnold and the offense will need to click on all cylinders in a game that could decide the final division standings, I like him in this spot.

His WR1, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, has mismatches all over the field, no matter which Rams cornerback is covering him. That should allow Darnold to sling the ball as long as the Seahawks’ offensive line can hold up against the Rams’ strong defensive front.

Confidence Level: Mid-tier QB1 

Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

Dak is consistently a start-in-good-spots quarterback for me in fantasy, and this is a great spot. According to the PFF strength of schedule tool, Prescott has the fifth-easiest matchup for quarterbacks in Week 11 against the Raiders, who have struggled to cover elite receivers and now face two in George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb.

Both Lamb and Pickens have favorable matchups according to the PFF matchup tool and should be able to carve up the 28th-ranked secondary unit. Dak carries top-10 upside heading into Week 11.

Confidence Level: Top-10 upside

Wide receivers

Tucker has been ice cold over the last three weeks and may not even be on fantasy rosters anymore after finishing as the WR68 from Week 8 to Week 10.

However, this is a strong bounce-back spot. With Jakobi Meyers gone, Tucker gets to face a Dallas secondary that has been taken advantage of all season. Dallas currently ranks 31st in team coverage grade, allowing 40.5 PPR points per game to opposing receivers.

Confidence level: Mid-tier WR2, high-end flex

Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears

We backed Rome in Week 10, and we’re going back to the well in Week 11.

Odunze draws a matchup against a Vikings defense that looks strong on paper, but their secondary has quietly struggled, ranking 20th out of 32 units this season.

Odunze is projected to see most of his snaps against Byron Murphy Jr., who has not graded well and has struggled over the last few weeks. Caleb and Rome could put on a show in Week 11.

Confidence Level: Mid-tier WR1, high-end WR2 

Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens

After a strong start to the season, Zay Flowers has tailed off drastically (WR34 from Week 5 to Week 10), largely due to Lamar Jackson being out of the starting lineup. With Lamar back, the production should return in Week 11.

The Browns do not have a single cornerback who can line up one-on-one with the NFL’s 11th-highest-graded wide receiver. In their first matchup this season, Zay Flowers tallied seven receptions for 75 yards. With the Browns now without Greg Newsome, a 100-yard game is well within reach. Flowers still owns the fifth-highest target rate in the league at 29.7% and should see heavy volume as long as Baltimore doesn’t jump out to a big early lead.

Confidence Level: High-upside WR2

Running back

RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos

J.K. Dobbins is set to miss the Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs, so RJ Harvey should see the bulk of the work in this one.

Harvey faces a tough challenge in his first true start of the season against the Chiefs defense. However, Kansas City has given up more than 300 yards and a touchdown through the air to running backs this season, and Harvey has thrived as a receiver for Denver. The Broncos will want to lean on the rushing attack to keep Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the field, and Harvey should see plenty of carries and receiving work out of the backfield.

Confidence Level: Mid-tier RB2

Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers

Say it with me: we will start running backs against the Bengals defense.

The Bengals are allowing more than 33 PPR points per game to opposing backfields, and Warren is going to see the vast majority of carries and receiving work among Pittsburgh’s running backs. Cincinnati is also allowing the fourth-most receiving yards to running backs this season and has surrendered the most receiving touchdowns to the position.

Warren is in a smash spot.

Confidence Level: Borderline RB1 

Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders

Jeanty faces a Dallas defense that is allowing 26.9 PPR points per game to opposing running back units, the second-most in the NFL. We have also seen Jeanty abuse weak run defenses in the past. In Week 6 against the Bears, Jeanty exploded for 138 rushing yards and a touchdown en route to an RB1 finish.

While Jeanty has been underwhelming this season, he has popped in good matchups, and this is arguably his best matchup of the year.

Confidence Level: Top-10 upside