Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 9 edition, and Happy Halloween! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. My one rule: I won’t ever give you wagers that are less than -120. No gimmies!
The banged-up Giants return home this week after two disheartening and frustrating road losses. They welcome the equally bruised 49ers, who travel from the west coast for a 1 p.m. ET start – always an advantage for the east coast team (although everyone gets an extra hour this Sunday morning – a boon for all you Big Blue tailgaters out there).
Like the Giants, the 49ers have dealt with a slew of major injuries, and their 5-3 record is a minor miracle. Not only have they played most of the season without their starting quarterback, starting wide receivers, and All-Pro tight end, but they’ve also lost two of the premier defensive players in the entire league and their defensive line is so decimated that they’ve signed street free agents who might play in this game. They got rolled last week in Houston and are looking to get back on the winning track ahead of two crucial division games that follow.
The 49ers are road favorites this week. The line is SF -2.5, with a game total of 48.5. The line is a stay-away for me. If I had to bet the game, I would just take the Giants’ Moneyline at +126 instead.
My picks were a perfect 3-0 last week, and it felt good to get back to winning. I’ll try to keep it going in Week 9.
Here are this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from Fanduel and are as of Friday morning, October 31. NOTE: As of Friday morning, there were very few player props listed for this game, probably because multiple players on the 49ers are questionable, and their starting quarterback hadn’t been announced.
- Game total UNDER 48.5 (-105). We’ve got two opposing trends here. Three straight Giants games have gone over 50 total points, while the 49ers haven’t played a single game this season where the total hit 50. The 49ers are down several key pieces on defense (as are the Giants, for what it’s worth), but I think Robert Saleh will dial up some looks to confuse Jaxson Dart, and potentially limit his rushing. The 49ers are missing their top two receivers while the Giants are missing their #1 receiver, and last week’s loss of Cam Skattebo shouldn’t be underestimated. I think this game will be played somewhere in the 40s and should stay under the total.
- San Francisco UNDER 25.5 Points (-118). I don’t normally double-down like this, but as I said earlier, FanDuel had very few props listed as of Friday morning so with little to choose from, I’ll pair the under with a 49ers under. As of this writing there is no word on which QB is starting for the 49ers, but whoever it is will not be 100% healthy. My guess is that the 49ers will wait one more week to bring back Purdy and Ricky Pearsall – that MetLife turf is scarier than Halloween – and Mac Jones will draw the start. Jones is capable, and one of the better backups in the league. But he isn’t all that mobile to begin with and is dealing with multiple injuries himself. I think the Giants’ pass rush will derail enough San Francisco drives to keep them below this total.
- Christian McCaffrey OVER 64.5 rushing yards (-114). McCaffrey has been much more effective as a pass catcher than as a rusher this season. He has gone over this total just twice all season, and is averaging a paltry 3.5 yards per carry, a career low. But the volume is there, at almost 18 totes per game. Meanwhile, the Giants just gave up 100 yards rushing to both Saquon Barkley and Tank Bigsby and have struggled against the run all season. Their rush defense ranks 30th in the NFL at just under 150 yards per game. Take the over.
Those are the picks for Week 9. Good luck with your wagers!
Do you play fantasy football? Check out my Week 9 Fantasy Preview, with start/sit advice, matchup analysis, and more, right here at Big Blue View.
See More:
