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NFL Week 7 same-game parlays

PFF’s top SGP picks for Week 7, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.


NFL Week 7 same-game parlays

NFL Week 7 same-game parlays

By

Judah Fortgang

Same-game parlays (SGPs) let you combine multiple bets from a single game into one ticket, increasing the potential payout if your game script hits. Our SGP picks are built around data-driven narratives — how a matchup is likely to unfold, which players are best positioned to benefit and where the edges lie.

This week, we’re also leaning on the new PFF Player Prop Tool, available exclusively in the PFF app for PFF+ members. It highlights the props with the highest probability of success, surfaces matchup insights that NFL teams themselves track and syncs with sportsbooks in real time, so you always know where the best number is.

Here are our top SGP picks for Week 7, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.

Jalen Coker steps right back into his WR2 role

The Panthers have been desperate for help at WR behind Tetairoa McMillan, with minimal production from the rest of the group. While the market may be pricing in a limited role for Jalen Coker in his return, all signs point to him being a full-go. Carolina’s decision to trade away Adam Thielen just days before Coker’s injury underscores their confidence in him as the clear WR2, a role he should immediately step back into this week.

Coker has become one of the NFL’s most productive receivers after the catch. That skill set matches up perfectly against a Jets defense that has struggled in this area all season, allowing a league-high 6.8 yards after the catch per reception.

Further compounding the issue for New York, the Jets have shown a massive drop-off in coverage outside of Sauce Gardner. Opposing WR2s have consistently tormented this secondary, taking advantage of favorable matchups against the Jets’ weaker cornerbacks — a trend Jalen Coker is well-positioned to exploit in his return.

If Bryce Young gets a boost from his WR2 and the Panthers’ run defense successfully slows down the Jets’ ground game, this sets up as a potential spike week for Carolina’s passing volume and production. Game flow and matchup both point toward an opportunity for Young and his receivers to put up big numbers.

SGP Build (140-1 on DraftKings)

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson dominates Eagles‘ secondary on deep targets

While the 2024 Eagles were elite at limiting explosive plays and rarely faced deep shots, the 2025 version has been a stark contrast. They’ve shifted schematically, and as a result, they’ve faced the highest deep attempt rate in the NFL through six weeks.

The Eagles have played the second-most single coverage in the NFL this season — a dangerous proposition against Justin Jefferson. He owns a massive 30% target share against single coverage and ranks at or near the top of the league in nearly every receiving metric, both deep and vs. man coverage. It’s a perfect setup for Jefferson to thrive.

The Eagles are also undermanned when it comes to defending Jefferson. Quinyon Mitchell hasn’t lived up to his standout rookie campaign, posting below-average marks in separation prevention — and he’s currently dealing with an injury.

With Jalen Carter potentially sidelined and Minnesota getting key pieces back on the offensive line, Carson Wentz should have ample time in the pocket to look deep. If even a couple of those deep shots connect, this matchup sets up perfectly for a classic Jefferson explosion game.

SGP Build (39-1 on DraftKings)

Broncos WR Troy Franklin set to exploit New York Giants’ man-coverage-heavy defense

The Giants lead the NFL in man coverage rate, playing man on nearly 50% of their defensive snaps — the highest mark in the league.

Troy Franklin has thrived against man coverage, commanding targets on nearly 35% of his routes while consistently creating separation. With Franklin running routes on nearly 80% of Denver’s dropbacks, he’s locked into a strong role — and against the Giants’ league-leading man coverage rate, he’s in a prime spot to produce.

While the Giants’ run defense has been a clear weakness, it may not matter much against a Broncos offense that ranks among the most pass-heavy in the NFL. Even with a lead, Denver has shown a strong tendency to keep the ball in the air — a trend that bodes well for Troy Franklin and the passing game.

SGP Build: 50-1 on DraftKings

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

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