Steve Maltepes, known as “The Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the smart money is going on various pro football games each weekend this season. Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears weekly on national radio, is the best-selling author of “Booked: The True Life Story of the PhillyGodfather,”and has his own website, www.thephillygodfather.com.
Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) at Minnesota Vikings (3-2) at 1:00 p.m. Sunday
The Line: Eagles minus-1.5/Total: 43.5
What is the line telling you:
Originally, the line on this game opened with the Eagles was -3 and a total of 41.5, and since then, we’ve seen movement on both the side and total. The current price in the U.S. markets ranges from Eagles -1.5 to -2.5, while some of the sharper offshore books have Nick Sirianni’s team listed as a 1-point road favorite at Minnesota. The total has also ticked up 2 to 2.5 points, now sitting as high as 43.5 or 44, depending on the sportsbook.
When it comes to the health score, both teams are a bit banged up heading into Sunday, with the Eagles holding a 4-point health advantage over the Vikings. The biggest disparity comes on the offensive side of the ball, where the Eagles’ offense rates +10 better in health than Minnesota’s.
Even though there’s some sharp money on Minnesota this week, we’re not looking to invest in a Vikings team that ranks 22nd in turnover differential and is dealing with several injuries on offense. After two straight losses, this feels like a buy-low spot for Philadelphia in the market.
Bottom line:
Before the season, oddsmakers projected the Eagles to be at least two wins better than the Vikings, and with Philly getting back some key defensive contributors—and the Vikings still lacking a quality win on their résumé (their victories coming against the Bengals, Browns, and Bears)—I’ll take my chances with the Eagles on the moneyline or -1.
Expect a big day from Saquon Barkley against a Vikings run defense that ranks 22nd in the NFL in opponent yards per rush attempt. The pay is Eagles on the moneyline or -1
Prop bets for the game:
Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-130)
Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-115)
Justin Jefferson Anytime TD (+140)
Saquon Barkley Over 70 Rushing Yards (-125)
(Betting lines are subject to change.)
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