Each week during the season, I will be walking through the data from the previous game and analyzing the numbers to form a sort of “what happened” narrative, as well as comparing the Colts against all other teams in the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference . Thanks to , , Pro Football Focus and the for being awesome sources of weekly data.
Going into Week 5, the Raiders’ defense ranked 19th in points allowed per drive. So they weren’t great, but they were far from the bottom of the barrel. The Colts’ offense, however, rolled over them as if they were the worst unit in the league. Indy racked up 24 first downs on 26 series, translating to a season-high 92.3% Drive Success Rate. That’s not just a season best for the Colts—it’s the highest mark by any team this year.
In previous weeks, I’ve noticed a worrisome trend of reaching the red zone and then settling for field goals. Not this week, though—the Colts posted a 100% red zone touchdown rate. Yet, they accomplished this feat with only 317 yards of total offense.
TEAM TOTALS
PPD,
Adj PPD,
W-L,
Pyth Wins,
PPG,
Yds,
DSR,
Strt Fld,
yds/ply,
EPA/ply,
adj TSR,
1st/ply,
Pen 1st/ Yds,
3DC,
3rd ytg,
Expl Plys,
TO,
TOP%
The offense claimed the #1 spot in scoring this week with a ridiculous 5 points per drive—the highest mark by any team this year. Not surprisingly, Indy was at or near the top of the charts in several key metrics: #1 DSR, #4 EPA per play, #3 Success Rate, and #6 Play Conversion Rate, #1 3rd down conversion rate.
Ironically, the Colts ranked only 15th in yards per play, which perfectly illustrates what they’ve done all year—methodically moving the chains rather than relying on big plays. They lost time of possession, though—so I guess the offense must have secretly been terrible.
On the year, after adjusting for opponent, the Colts’ offense ranks 3rd—just behind Detroit and still a fair distance from Buffalo.
PASS TOTALS
EPA/db,
Adj EPA/d,
PSR,
Cmp,
Att,
Yds,
TD,
Int,
Sck,
Sck Y,
Sck Fum,
Scrm,
Scrm Yds,
Scrm TD,
Scrm Fum,
1st/db,
ny/d,
cmp %,
aDOT,
CPOE,
Air Yd,
YAC,
20+ #/Yd
The team passing stats include plays from Anthony Richardson and even the Tyler Warren flea-flicker attempt, so some of the numbers are slightly diluted compared to my QB-only metrics. Still, I have Indy as the 5th-best passing team in terms of EPA per dropback, thank to another stellar week from Daniel Jones.
The 8th-best Success Rate was driven by the 6th-best pass play conversion rate, but similar to total yards, their net yards per dropback ranked only 14th. Again, this highlights Jones’ ability to consistently pick up first downs without relying on huge chunk plays.
For the season, the passing offense—adjusted for opponent—ranks 7th best in the league.
RUSH TOTALS
wgt RSR,
adj RSR,
YDS,
CAR,
TD,
1st,
Fum Lost,
RSR,
1st/c,
YPC,
10+ #/Yd,
3rd,
EPA/c,
Even though the Colts rushed for fewer than 100 yards, they were highly efficient. The abundance of short-yardage situations led to an unimpressive 17th-ranked yards per carry, but they still produced 4 touchdowns and 9 first downs on just 25 carries. They converted 100% of their 3rd down attempts and racked up the 4th most EPA per carry.
Accounting for game situation, that ranks the run game #2 for the week and #3 for the season.
CONCLUSION
This game was an offensive clinic. The Colts delivered in both phases and kept moving relentlessly until they reached the end zone. I’ll say it again —the 2025 Colts are one of the best offenses in the league. They’re balanced, they grind out first downs to move the chains, yet they still have the ability to generate explosive plays.
See More:
