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NFL Week 3 Betting: Prop bets to target

Betting insights, matchup data, historical hit rates and much more are now right at your fingertips. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the new Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to help you beat the sportsbooks.


NFL Week 3 Betting: Prop bets to target

NFL Week 3 Betting: Prop bets to target

By

Mason Cameron


The brand new PFF Player Prop Tool is LIVE!

Betting insights, matchup data, historical hit rates and much more are now right at your fingertips. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the new Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to help you beat the sportsbooks.

These are some of the best player prop bets to target in Week 3 for the 2025 NFL season.

WR Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals: Over 6.5 receptions (+115)

Joe Burrow’s injury initially set off alarms across Cincinnati, but cooler heads should prevail. It’s not time to panic about Ja’Marr Chase’s rest-of-season outlook—he’s consistently operated as a target monster, regardless of who’s under center.

After Jake Browning entered the game this past week, Ja’Marr Chase remained highly productive, hauling in 10 catches on 12 targets for 128 yards. He was targeted on 37.5% of his routes, continuing a trend we’ve seen with Browning under center. Since the start of 2023, Chase leads the team with 53 targets from Browning—23 more than the next closest Bengals player.

That kind of volume will be critical against a Vikings defense that has struggled to cover wide receivers this season while leaning on a high-risk, blitz-heavy scheme. Through two weeks, Minnesota ranks 29th in PFF coverage grade against receivers (43.6), setting up a favorable matchup for Chase to exploit.


RB Braelon Allen, New York Jets: Under 17.5 rushing yards (-109)

With Justin Fields sidelined by a concussion, the Jets are expected to lean on a run-heavy game plan to ease the burden on Tyrod Taylor. But stylistically, this is a brutal matchup.

Todd Bowles’ defense ranks third in PFF run defense grade (76.8), fifth in rushing yards allowed to running backs and has held opponents to just 3.3 yards per carry.

That poses a problem for the entire Jets backfield, but especially for Braelon Allen. His share of the workload has been minimal compared to Breece Hall, handling just over 15% of the carries (8) versus Hall’s 55% share (29). And when Allen has touched the ball, the results haven’t been encouraging: he’s earned a 48.0 PFF rushing grade—ranking 55th out of 55 qualifying backs—and is averaging just 2.5 yards per carry.

He’s gone under his rushing line in both games to start the season.

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Our blog is all about curating the best stories, insights, and updates on your favorite teams. Whether you’re a passionate fan or just love the game, SportSourcio is here to keep you connected with what’s happening on and off the field.

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