Miami Dolphins 2025 odds: Can Tua throw for 4000 yards? Will De’Von Achane reach 1000 yards?

The Miami Dolphins are 13 days away from starting their 2025 regular season schedule. How will the season play out for a team looking to bounce back to the playoffs after missing them last year? Will any of Miami’s players have huge individual seasons as the team puts together wins and makes a playoff run?

Our friends over at FanDuel Sportsbook are conducting FanDuel Futures Day on Tuesday, August 26 where you can get profit boost tokens around various futures markets throughout the day. The markets will be split up throughout the day, but they will include odds to win the Super Bowl and hypothetical Super Bowl matchups, odds to make or miss the playoffs, win totals, division winners, and player milestones. Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook on Tuesday to take advantage of FanDuel Futures Day.

How are the Dolphins represented in the futures markets for tomorrow’s FanDuel Futures Day? It is time to take a look at all of the available markets and the current Dolphins’ odds.

(All times Eastern)

Super Bowl winner/matchup (9 a.m.-12 p.m.)

If the Dolphins were to make a run through the playoffs and on to the Super Bowl, who do you think is the most likely matchup? The best odds are to face the Philadelphia Eagles, the reigning champions, at +15,000. The longest odds are to face either the New Orleans Saints or New York Giants, both at +250,000.

I think the most fun would be something like the +75,000 for a Dolphins versus Dallas Cowboys or the +25,000 for a Dolphins versus San Francisco 49ers championship game – giving Miami a chance to avenge their title-game losses to those teams in Super Bowl VI and XVII, respectively. However, playing the 49ers in their home stadium might not be the ideal setting for a championship attempt. Maybe an all-Florida +40,000 Dolphins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl would be a fun one.

Who would you pick as Miami’s Super Bowl opponent?

Make/Miss Playoffs (12 p.m.-3 p.m.)

Miami is not projected to make the postseason, according to the oddsmakers. There only seven teams with longer odds for a playoff appearance than Miami: the Carolina Panthers (+260), Las Vegas Raiders (+320), Tennessee Titans (+390), New York Jets (+520), New York Giants (+710), New Orleans Saints (+820), and Cleveland Browns (+920).

The Dolphins have too much talent to be in that group. The team had issues last year, but they should be able to put those behind them and compete this season. Are they a playoff team? Maybe, maybe not. But, I would give them better chances than teams like the New England Patriots (+154), Jacksonville Jaguars (+172), and Chicago Bears (+180).

Are you taking the +220 for Miami to make the playoffs, or will you pay for the -280 to miss the postseason?

Win Totals (3 p.m.-6 p.m.)

We previously took a look at the Dolphins’ win totals odds for 2025. Many of you seem to be settling around the nine to ten wins mark, though some are coming in around five wins. The oddsmakers seem to have 7.5 wins as the break-even mark on the odds. I would consider the over in the 8.5 range. The Dolphins should come away with a winning record and in contention for the playoffs – that would require at least nine wins.

What do you think is the best bet for Miami’s win total?

Division Winners (6 p.m.-9 p.m.)

Not surprisingly, the Buffalo Bills are the favorites to win the division (-270), with the Dolphins +750 to pull off the upset. Can Miami win the AFC East for the first time since 2008? Buffalo has won the title the last five seasons, so it is definitely an uphill battle for the Dolphins if they want to clinch the division – and home playoff games.

Player Milestones (9 p.m. – 12 a.m.)

Passing

Tagovailoa led the league in passing in 2023, earning a Pro Bowl berth as he threw for 4,624 yards. Surpassing the 4,5000-yard mark again is not impossible for Miami’s starting quarterback; it just comes down to Tagovailoa being healthy. Tagovailoa was only able to play every game in a season once, starting all 17 games in 2023 – every other year injuries, especially concussions, have sidelined him for large chunks of the year. If Miami can keep Tagovailoa healthy, reaching 4,000 or 4,5000 yards should be on the table.

Tagovailoa has never reached 30 touchdown passes, topping out at 29 in 2023. If he stays healthy and the Miami offense returns to the explosive, high-scoring unit it was in 2023, he has a chance to reach that mark – but hoping for more might be just taking a flyer on the bet.

Receiving Yards

Photo by Ryan Kang/Getty Images

Last year was a rough one for Miami’s receivers, both of whom underperformed compared to their normal seasons. Hill finished 2024 with just 959 yards, his first time below 1,000 yards since 2019 – when he only played 12 games. It was also the only season in his nine-year career in which he was not named to the Pro Bowl. He led the league with 1,799 receiving yards in 2023, following up his 1,710 yards from his first year in Miami. For Hill, 1,250 – and even 1,500 – receiving yards should be within reach.

Waddle was held under 1,000 yards for the first time in his four-year career last season. His 744 yards were well below the 1,015 yards he had as a rookie in 2021, the 1,356 yards he tallied in 2022, and the 1,014 yards from 2023. He should bounce back this year, but 1,250 yards might be a lofty goal, especially if Hill is putting up big numbers on the opposite side of the offense.

Even in the down year last year, Hill reached six receiving touchdowns. He has had 12 touchdowns in a season three times, with a career high 15 in 2020. It would not be a surprise for him to at least reach 10 in 2025.

Waddle’s career high is eight touchdowns in a season, coming back in 2022. He only found the endzone four times in 2023, despite 1,014 receiving yards, and twice last season. Six might be the right mark for him.

Rushing Yards

Entering his third season, Achane is poised to be a breakout star for the league. He recorded 800 rushing yards as a rookie, despite only playing 11 games with four starts. He tallied 907 rushing yards last year. Can he eclipse 1,000 yards this season?

What might play against Achane’s success is the potential emergence of rookie running back Ollie Gordon II this summer, who has looked like he is ready to contribute – possibly taking away carries from Achane. There is also concern that the 2023 third-round pick is already banged up this summer, even before the regular season begins.

Achane could reach 1,000 yards, but 1,250 might need him to dominate early to push Gordon back to the bench.

As for the touchdowns, Gordon will probably factor into this as well – he seems to run with more power than Achane, who uses his speed more. If Miami is in short-yardage situations near the goal line, Gordon may poach some of those scores. Achane scored eight rushing touchdowns as a rookie, then six last year. He also has nine receiving touchdowns during his career, indicating his dual-threat nature, but those will not help with this situation. The oddsmakers seem to think the eight rushing touchdowns mark is about right for Achane this season, and that does seem to be about the right mark to consider.

0 CommentsSee More:

• Miami Dolphins Odds