NFL Betting 2025: One prop to target for each AFC team

By
- A full season of Marquise Brown and Patrick Mahomes could produce fireworks: With another offseason in the books to recover and build chemistry with Mahomes, Brown is poised to hit the ground running in 2025.
- Travis Hunter is set to feature heavily on offense: Lining up next to Brian Thomas Jr. will put pressure on defenses, giving Hunter the space to gash defenses.
- Subscribe to PFF+: Get access to player grades, PFF Premium Stats, fantasy football rankings, all of the PFF fantasy draft research tools and more!
Estimated Reading Time: 8 minutes

With NFL training camps getting underway, this is the perfect opportunity to evaluate the player futures market for bets to target before camp news and preseason games sway the markets.
The PFF betting team has been evaluating markets all offseason for potential values, and we’ve compiled one line to target for each AFC team ahead of the 2025 NFL season.
Odds sourced from FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and Caesars Sportsbook
JUMP TO A TEAM:
BLT | BUF | CIN | CLE | DEN | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LVR | LAC | MIA | NE | NYJ | PIT | TEN
Baltimore Ravens
Bet: WR Rashod Bateman — Over 3.5 receiving touchdowns (-115)
Bateman took a massive step forward in 2024, finally parlaying his ability to separate into production. The Ravens receiver hauled in nine scores on his way to a career-best 71.3 PFF receiving grade. Even with a strong group around Bateman in the Ravens’ receiving corps, his ability to consistently separate (98th-percentile separation rate in 2024) has earned Lamar Jackson’s trust and will command more attention in 2025, especially in the red zone.
Buffalo Bills
Bet: WR Khalil Shakir — Over 775.5 receiving yards (-110)
Shakir’s breakout in 2024 came not only due to volume but also incredible efficiency. The 25-year-old receiver charted in the 85th percentile or better in multiple key receiving metrics, including separation rate (97th), yards after catch per reception (94th) and yards per route run (85th). With the solidified trust of Josh Allen, Shakir is likely to take another step toward becoming an impact slot weapon.
Cincinnati Bengals
Bet: QB Joe Burrow — Lead the NFL in passing yardage (+550)
Armed with two of the NFL’s top receivers, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, and a strong track record for success, Burrow will undoubtedly find himself in the race for the NFL’s passing yardage title for a second consecutive season. His projection of more than 4,200 yards lands at the top spot in PFF’s fantasy projections, a number Burrow is more than capable of hitting if healthy.
Cleveland Browns
Bet: WR Cedric Tillman — Over 675.5 receiving yards (-115)
Despite uncertainty at the quarterback position, Tillman can carve out a significant role in the Browns’ offense. With a 12.3-yard average depth of target and a 96th-percentile contested-catch rate last season, Tillman can win down the field and provide this receiving corps with needed stability while likely frequently playing from behind.
Denver Broncos
Bet: RB RJ Harvey — Over 700.5 rushing yards (-110)
The signing of J.K. Dobbins will cut into the workload of the Broncos’ second-round pick, but Harvey is far too elusive to be relegated in this backfield. Last season, Harvey charted above the 85th percentile in missed tackles forced per attempt (86th) and breakaway rate (97th), proving he’s a threat to take any carry to the house.
Houston Texans
Bet: WR Christian Kirk — Over 550.5 receiving yards (-115)
Kirk steps into a strong Texans offense, complete with a promising young quarterback and strong receiving talent around him like Nico Collins to draw coverage away. Although Houston spent a pair of draft picks on receivers this past April, Kirk still stands to command a key role. He is projected for more than 870 yards — more than 300 yards over his line. That is the biggest difference of any receiver in PFF’s projections.
Indianapolis Colts
Bet: TE Tyler Warren — Over 500.5 receiving yards (-110)
Although the Colts have many mouths to feed in the passing game, Warren will see more than enough work to surpass this receiving yardage line. As PFF’s Dalton Wasserman highlighted, the rookie will play a crucial role in the Colts’ RPO game. With 693 yards after catch last season, he showcased his talent for making things happen with the ball in his hands.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Bet: WR Travis Hunter — Over 725.5 receiving yards (-110)
Although Hunter profiles as a bona fide two-way player, the expectation is that he will be more heavily used on offense to start his NFL journey. Lining up next to Brian Thomas Jr. will put pressure on defenses, giving Hunter the space to gash defenses. Having logged 28 receptions of 15 or more yards in 2024, Hunter can rack up yardage in the blink of an eye.
Kansas City Chiefs
Bet: WR Marquise Brown – Over 525.5 receiving yards (-110)
Brown’s Kansas City debut didn’t occur until Week 16 last season — and didn’t move the needle like many had expected. With another offseason in the books to recover and build chemistry with Patrick Mahomes, Brown will hit the ground running in 2025. His 12.2-yard average depth of target across his past two full seasons should help him rack up chunk yardage while stretching the field.
Las Vegas Raiders
Bet: RB Ashton Jeanty — 10+ rushing touchdowns (+260)
Jeanty, a first-year player we’ve already highlighted this offseason as a breakout candidate, has the potential to set the league on fire. Per PFF’s fantasy projections, Jeanty is estimated to reach upward of 9.38 touchdowns, putting his base touchdown line of 7.5 well in hand. Taking the alternate line of 10 or more scores will be within reach and net much more favorable odds.
Los Angeles Chargers
Bet: QB Justin Herbert — Over 21.5 passing touchdowns (-108)
As highlighted in our look at passing futures to target this season, Herbert’s 21.5 touchdown line is a golden opportunity to take advantage of the passing market. Despite limited options in the receiving game last season, Herbert still managed to toss 23 touchdowns, his fourth time exceeding this line. With far more young, promising talent around him in 2025, this is a line he is easily capable of going over.
Miami Dolphins
Bet: QB Tua Tagovailoa — Over 3,500.5 passing yards (-110)
The cloud of his spotty injury history lingers over Tagovailoa’s 2025 outlook, but his production when he’s healthy speaks for itself. While the optics of 2024 didn’t look great, the Dolphins’ quarterback’s play was reminiscent of his NFL-leading performance in 2023. Should he play all 17 games, Tagovailoa will comfortably clear this line.
New England Patriots
Bet: RB Rhamondre Stevenson — Over 5.5 rushing touchdowns (-115)
Although the Patriots overhauled their roster to add numerous offensive pieces, Stevenson shouldn’t be overlooked in the mix. A revamped offensive line should help him find space in the running game much more easily this season. While Tre’Veyon Henderson will likely cut into the overall workload, the veteran back will be heavily featured near the goal line, as five of his seven scores last season came in goal-to-go situations.
New York Jets
Bet: QB Justin Fields — Over 625.5 rushing yards (-108)
In the weeks since we evaluated rushing props to target for the 2025 season, oddsmakers have noticed their mistake in Fields’ line and have adjusted it with a 75-yard increase. However, that’s still well below his 738-yard projection. As one of the most electric runners at the quarterback position, Fields is well equipped to show his flashes in New York.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Bet: WR D.K. Metcalf — 1000+ receiving yards (+120)
After six seasons in Seattle, Metcalf will look to set the tone in Pittsburgh with Aaron Rodgers. The veteran passer and receiver can foster a strong connection deep. On throws targeted 10 or more yards downfield, Metcalf has generated a 90.0-plus PFF receiving grade in each of the past three seasons.
Tennessee Titans
Bet: QB Cam Ward — Over 3225.5 passing yards (-105)
Ward earned an FBS-best 92.9 PFF overall grade last season at Miami and brings a big-play mentality, evidenced by his 6.3% big-time throw rate. That aggressiveness can be a double-edged sword in the NFL, but a fearless approach can pay off big. While the Titans are relatively light in proven receiving talent, Calvin Ridley and Tyler Lockett are capable weapons who can carry the load while one of the team’s young receiving threats develops.