NFL draft risers & fallers

Mike Green and Luther Burden headline the NFL Draft prospects with the most volatile stock

The NFL Draft is now less than a month away. The fun all starts on Thursday, April 24th in Green Bay.

Big boards and mock drafts are somewhat becoming cemented as dust settles on the NFL Scouting Combine. Teams will continue to meet with prospects at pro day’s and at their facilities; however, the cake is close to baked at this point.

With under 30 days to go, which prospects have the most volatile stocks? There are several individuals who’ve catapulted into first round status and others who’ve watched their markets plummet.

Let’s take a look at some risers and fallers according to the NFL Mock Draft Database consensus boards:

Risers:

Mike Green, EDGE; Marshall

Green entered the draft process as an early second round pick. Consensus boards now have him slotted at 15th overall to the Atlanta Falcons. That’s quite the climb, and his athletic testing is the biggest driver for how that happened.

At the Marshall pro day, Green finished the short shuttle in 4.25 seconds and the three-cone in 6.85 seconds. Those are elite times for an EDGE rusher.

Green does have some off-field concerns that will be worth monitoring as the draft grows near.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/mike-green

Armand Membou, OT; Missouri

Membou is close to cementing his status at the top offensive tackle in this draft class. Part of this can be explained by the questions surrounding LSU’s Will Campbell’s short arms and potential projection to the interior instead of tackle.

Nonetheless his climb from the 60’s to the top 10 is still impressive. Membou is often mocked at 7th overall to the New York Jets.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/armand-membou

Jaxson Dart, QB; Ole Miss

There’s no position with a more volatile draft market than quarterback. Each year we see surprise individuals enter the first round conversation, and this year that person is Ole Miss’ Jaxson Dart.

At the turn of the calendar to 2024, Jaxson was being slotted in mocks around pick 100. Now, he’s climbed to as high as 21st overall to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

With that said, I don’t think I’d be willing to pay the price of admission for Dart. He’s a fine short and intermediate thrower, though he hasn’t yet demonstrated the ability to push the ball downfield on a consistent basis. He’s also just an OK athlete. Dart’s profile doesn’t exactly suggest he’s a high-upside gamble though time will tell.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/jaxson-dart

Jihaad Campbell, LB; Alabama

Similar to Green, athletic testing has made Campbell the consensus top linebacker on draft boards and continues to push him into the conversation in the middle of the first round.

Still, a mid-first is a high price to pay for an off-ball linebacker. Will someone be willing to take Campbell in that range?

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/jihaad-campbell

Omarion Hampton, RB; North Carolina

If it weren’t for Ashton Jeanty who would be the best back in nearly any other draft class, Hampton would be the bell of the ball this year. He’s still doing well for himself and has climbed from the middle of the second round to around 20th overall.

A popular landing spot for Hampton is the Denver Broncos.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/omarion-hampton

Elijah Arroyo, TE; Miami

As recently as mid-January, Arroyo was mocked closer to the 200th overall pick in the draft. He’s now projected to be a day two pick and it could take a second rounder to acquire him. Arroyo is one of the more dynamic options available in a solid tight end class, though he’s more of a developmental player.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/elijah-arroyo

Fallers:

Luther Burden, WR; Missouri

I wrote about Burden’s fall yesterday. The Los Angeles Rams are well-suited to land what just a short while ago seemed like a surefire top 15 player. Burden fits the Rams offense in nearly every dimension.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/luther-burden

Malaki Starks, DB; Georgia

Another player whose fall could benefit the Rams is safety Malaki Starks. Stark’s athletic testing has raised caution flags, but just a few months ago he was thought of as one of the best safeties to enter the draft for some time.

It’s looking more and more likely that the defensive back will be available towards the back of the first round, and someone will think the value is too good to pass up. Safety is a difficult position to draft given the league’s devaluation of free agents and draft prospects. It requires a unique talent to be taken in the first round these days.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/malaki-starks

Nic Scourton, EDGE; Texas A&M

I’m not entirely sure why Scourton is falling but the fact it is would be undeniable. Scourton’s fall could be inversely related to Green’s rise in some ways.

I personally like Scourton and think he’s a day one starter and impact contributor. He fits the mold of a Tre Hendrickson or Melvin Ingram. These are more physical pass rushers than truly elite benders and athletes on the EDGE.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/nic-scourton

Shavon Revel, CB; East Carolina

It’s no secret why Revel has watched his draft stock plummet. He’s recovering from an ACL surgery back in October. As a result, Revel has not tested and front offices tend to discount draft position for a lack of data.

Talent wise it’s pretty clear this is a first-round corner. Teams will have to decide whether they are comfortable taking a more long-term view with this pick, especially if Revel is not available for training camp and/or the start of the season.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/shavon-revel-jr

Isaiah Bond, WR; Texas

While Texas receiver Matthew Golden has flown up draft boards, his teammate Isaiah Bond has gone the opposite direction. Golden ran the fastest 40-yard dash amongst all receivers at the combine at 4.29 seconds. Bond figured to be in that conversation but disappointed with a 4.39. It’s all about expectations. Bond still posted a time that validates the speed he demonstrates on tape.

Bond now figures into the equation as a late second or third round pick. He was a fringe first round prospect as recently as December.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/isaiah-bond

Aireontae Ersery, OT; Minnesota

In a draft class with a lack of top-tier offensive tackles, Ersery could see himself taken earlier than expected. He’s a safer projection at right tackle rather than left, and that is generally considered less valuable.

Ersey has fallen from fringe first round status to the mid to late second. He certainly has starting potential and I could see his stock rising over the next month, especially for teams with a need at right tackle.

https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/players/2025/aireontae-ersery