
Wagers to consider as you fill out your tickets
Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 15 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. My one rule: I won’t ever give you wagers that are less than -120. No gimmes here!
The Giants’ season is drawing to a close, mercifully. The players and coaches can see the finish line, and with just four games left on the slate it feels like this team is looking ahead to the 2025 NFL Draft, and next season. They’ve now lost eight straight, and all seven of their home games. The Saints’ game last Sunday offered the Giants their best remaining shot at a win this season, and they were right there at the end, needing a chip-shot field goal to send the game to OT. The kick was blocked, which was emblematic of a failed and lost season.
The reeling Giants now welcome one of the NFL’s top teams to MetLife Stadium. The Ravens come in well rested off of their Bye, while the Giants continue to lose players to injury. Drew Lock and Tommy DeVito are both banged up, but Cutlets is the less hurt of the two, so he’s back under center.
The line for this game stands at BAL -16.5, with a game total of 42.5. That line is the largest of the NFL season to date and no, it’s not a misprint. Also no, this isn’t Michigan playing some D2 patsy in late August. This line is real, and it’s spectacular. This is an actual NFL game, with professional football players on both rosters. But it’s a giant mismatch in every sense of the word and on both sides of the ball (no pun intended).
The Giants keep losing, but I keep winning. I’m 7-2 across the last three weeks with the only misses coming on Tyrone Tracy “over” props in Weeks 13 and 14 that narrowly missed. I’ll try to keep it going this week. This game is a tough one to handicap from a props perspective because it could easily get out of hand, and that could throw things out of whack. It’s a December game but weather shouldn’t be much of a factor. That huge line is tempting but in the end it’s a stay-away for me.
Let’s get to the picks. All lines and odds are from Fanduel and are as of Friday at 6 p.m., December 13.
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Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images
1. Malik Nabers OVER 64.5 receiving yards (-113). Nabers has been battling an array of bumps and bruises, but he didn’t miss any practices this week and comes into this game with no injury designation. This contest could have extended garbage time and that would benefit the rookie. Nabers has had at least 50 receiving yards in four straight contests, and has 64 yards or more in four of seven games since returning from his early-season concussion. He’s also seen at least nine targets in six straight games. The Ravens have played better pass defense the last month but they’re still ranked dead last against the pass, at 265 yards per game. Give me the over.
2. Justice Hill OVER 13.5 rushing yards (-113). Unless Keaton Mitchell sees some run, I don’t know Hill doesn’t get to this number. Yes, he’s primarily a pass-catching back, but if this game plays out anywhere close to the spread then Hill should get some extended run in a script where the Ravens take the air out of the ball, and don’t risk a silly Derrick Henry injury in a blowout. Hill surpassed this number four straight weeks early in the season, but has only crested it twice since Week 5.
3. Ravens -3.5 first quarter (-106). Math time! 3.5 x 4 = 14, and the game spread is 16.5. So this first quarter spread is a discount to the game line, but that seems backwards to me as I think the Ravens will almost surely come out of the tunnel with guns blazing. They’re not only rested, but they lost to the Eagles the week before their Bye, and this game matters to them. On the other sideline, the Giants are dead-men walking. The G-Men have also been slow starters. This bet feels too good to be true, but I’ll gladly take it.
Those are the picks for Week 15. Good luck with your wagers!