100% accurate ranking of all 32 teams.
Now that Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season is in the books, it’s time for an incredibly meaningful and serious exercise: NFL Power Rankings! What differentiates these rankings from all the others is that they’re THE only truly accurate ones in the entire universe. We use a proprietary system that heavily accounts for all-important vibes. Let’s take a look at how all 32 teams stack up. (Click here for last week’s version.)
BLG’S WEEK 14 NFL POWER RANKINGS
1 – Detroit Lions (Last Week: 1) – There might be some cracks in the armor here. The Lions looked beatable on Thanksgiving as their injury issues continue to pile up.
2 – Buffalo Bills (LW: 2) – Josh Allen throwing a touchdown pass to himself in a blowout primetime win sure isn’t going to hurt his MVP chances. He’ll likely lock up that award if the Bills can overtake KC for the No. 1 seed.
3 – Philadelphia Eagles (LW: 4) – The Eagles have the best defense in the NFL. Excluding garbage time, they’re allowing just 10.9 offensive points per game during their eight-game winning streak. Vic Fangio was a massive offseason acquisition.
4 – Kansas City Chiefs (LW: 3) – I’m still wary of the Chiefs’ inevitability. History suggests they’re due for regression … but I feel like I can’t fully believe it until I actually see them crumble.
Since 2000, there have been 23 team with 11+ wins through Week 13.
None have had a worse point differential than the 2024 Chiefs, and it’s not close.
Average point differential for those teams was +139. Chiefs are +54 — 34 points worse than every other team in that sample.
— Sheil Kapadia (@SheilKapadia) November 29, 2024
5 – Green Bay Packers (LW: 6) – Jordan Love has turned in back-to-back games without turning the ball over. Those are his first two games without a giveaway this year. If he’s past those issues, well, the Packers are a pretty legitimate threat.
6 – Minnesota Vikings (LW: 7) – The Vikings are 6-1 in one-score games this season. They’ve been good but they’ve also been lucky.
7 – Pittsburgh Steelers (LW: 8) – A big bounce back from their loss to Cleveland combined with a Baltimore loss has the Steelers with a 1.5-game lead in the AFC North. Remaining in first place won’t be easy, though, since they have the eighth-toughest schedule down the stretch.
8 – Baltimore Ravens (LW: 5) – It feels like the Ravens should be in the mix for the No. 1 seed but instead they’re currently the No. 6 seed in the AFC playoff picture. If the season ended today, they’d face a Pittsburgh team that historically owns Lamar Jackson in the wild card round.
9 – Denver Broncos (LW: 9) – With their win on Monday night, the Broncos are in a good position to make the playoffs for the first time since 2015.
10 – Washington Commanders (LW: 10) – The Commanders snapped their three-game losing streak with a blowout win against Tennessee. Perhaps Jayden Daniels is getting healthier?
11 – Los Angeles Chargers (LW: 12) – Although not a juggernaut, they’re a solid football team. Justin Herbert turning the ball over just three times in 12 games is pretty conducive to winning.
12 – Seattle Seahawks (LW: 13) – The Seahawks have won three straight games to re-take a lead in the NFC West. The division is still wide open but they might be able to close this out.
13 – Arizona Cardinals (LW: 11) – Jonathan Gannon pulled a Nick Sirianni from Week 2 and kicked a field goal late in the fourth quarter to go up six points instead of going for it on fourth down to try to get a touchdown. Gannon incentivized the Vikings to be aggressive and, sure enough, they went all out to beat Arizona in the end. Really poor game management.
14 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (LW: 15) – The Bucs flirted with a loss but they ultimately beat Carolina in overtime to get back to .500. They’re in a good spot to overtake Atlanta for the division lead.
15 – San Francisco 49ers (LW: 14) – They’re not officially dead yet but their playoff chances are down to 5.5%, per FTN Fantasy’s DVOA projection. Just not their season.
16 – Houston Texans (LW: 18) – The Texans are going to be one-and-done in the playoffs. They’re good enough to win their bad division but not good enough to win in the postseason.
17 – Miami Dolphins (LW: 16) – An unlikely playoff push was likely halted with a decisive loss in Green Bay.
18 – Los Angeles Rams (LW: 19) – With a win over Seattle earlier this season, the Rams still have a chance to sweep the Seahawks for a valuable tiebreaker that could be the difference in who ends up winning the NFC West.
19 – Cincinnati Bengals (LW: 17) – One of the top 13 teams in points scored has a losing record. It’s the Bengals, who rank sixth. Their atrocious defense has totally sunk their season.
20 – Indianapolis Colts (LW: 21) – Kudos to Shane Steichen for being aggressive and going for two at the end of the game to give the Colts a win. Indy likely won’t be able to win their division but they’re still alive for a wild card berth.
21 – Atlanta Falcons (LW: 20) – You’d have to be such a sucker to believe in Kirk Cousins. The Falcons are going to blow their NFC South lead, as we’ve been predicting.
22 – Dallas Cowboys (LW: 25) – The Cowboys have no choice but to give Mike McCarthy a lifetime contract extension. Look at how his players are playing with pride! This is actually very meaningful football that truly portends well for their future!
23 – Chicago Bears (LW: 22) – Matt Eberflus deserved to be fired with how badly he botched the Bears’ chance to beat Detroit. It’ll be interesting to see who the Bears hire to pair with Caleb Williams.
24 – New Orleans Saints (LW: 23) – The Saints still have a 1.7% shot at making the playoffs, so, you’re saying there’s a chance? But not really, they’re definitely donezo.
25 – Cleveland Browns (LW: 24) – Jameis Winston is entertaining to watch … especially when he’s not the quarterback for your favorite team.
26 – New York Jets (LW: 26) – JETS: Just End The Season.
27 – New England Patriots (LW: 28) – They arguably play above their low talent level, so, that’s probably a good sign that Jerod Mayo is doing something right.
28 – Carolina Panthers (LW: 29) – The Panthers have been much more competitive recently. They followed two wins with field goal losses to KC and TB. Maybe there’s some hope yet for Bryce Young?
29 – Tennessee Titans (LW: 27) – I’m going to boldly predict that the Titans will have a new quarterback next season.
30 – Las Vegas Raiders (LW: 30) – The Raiders snatched defeat from the jaws of victory to extend the NFL’s longest losing streak to eight games. Will Las Vegas beat one of their remaining opponents? At Bucs, vs. Falcons, vs. Jags, at Saints, vs. Chargers.
31 – Jacksonville Jaguars (LW: 31) – Doug Pederson’s team has the NFL’s easiest remaining schedule down the stretch; the combined record of their final five opponents is 17-44. The Jags might be able to pick up some meaningless wins.
32 – New York Giants (LW: 32) – The Giants’ tough strength of schedule is working against them as a tiebreaker in the 2025 NFL Draft order. But they could very well get the No. 1 overall pick by losing out and solely possessing the league’s worst record.
