Week 13 best prop bests for Giants-Cowboys

Wagers to consider as you fill out your tickets

Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 13 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. My one rule: I won’t ever give you wagers that are less than -120. No layups here!

It’s been a minute since I’ve written this column. The Giants were on a Bye in Week 11, and I was on my own personal Bye last week. But I’m back and ready to roll. I was a perfect 3-0 three weeks ago when I last posted this column. That was the week the Giants travelled to Munich to face the Panthers. This week, they have a rematch with the division-rival Cowboys, on Thanksgiving Day, and the game kicks off right around the time that lots of families are saying thanks and sitting down to eat the big meal. Can anyone be thankful for this game? Nope. The 2-9 Giants have been a nausea-inducing team this season, and the 4-7 Cowboys (coming off of three straight 12-win seasons) haven’t been much better. So maybe the timing is a good thing. Partaking of a great feast instead of watching these two teams feels like a win. Dallas won the first meeting back in Week 4, 20-15, with the Giants scoring only field goals.

Things have gone from bad to worse for the Giants since the trip abroad, and Big Blue limps into Thanksgiving riding a seven-game losing streak. They also come in fresh off being demolished at home by the Bucs, 30-7 just four days before they have to play again on Turkey Day. Fun fact: the Giants and Cowboys are a combined 0-11 at home this season. Yeesh. But Dallas comes into this matchup riding high, off of a spirited (and thrilling) win at the rival Commanders on Sunday. That victory broke a five-game losing streak that started before Dak Prescott got hurt.

The line for this game is Cowboys -3.5, and it feels like a rat line. More on that below. The game total is 37.5, and yes, that’s a low number for a Dallas Thanksgiving Day game. But these aren’t your usual 2020s Cowboys, folks.

Let’s get to the picks. All lines and odds are from Fanduel and are as of Wednesday morning, November 27.

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1. Dallas -3.5 (-115). I smell a rat, but I’m laying the points anyway. The Giants could be the NFL’s worst team at the moment, and they also might have the worst vibes in the NFL right now. They waived their best quarterback (fine, it made sense), and now they might be on their third quarterback in three weeks? Is the front office trying to lose games, knowing the players are playing for their livelihoods either way? Like I said, the vibes are atrocious. Last week’s lopsided loss led to a lot of anger and finger-pointing, and the GM and head coach are on borrowed time.

On the flip side, it’s a division game, and Dallas is due for a letdown, coming off a big win on a short week. The Cowboys have had an awful season. They’ve trailed by at least 20 points in EVERY one of their five home games so far this season, an NFL record (plus their playoff game last season, making it six in a row). They’re 3-8 ATS (but so is New York). There are reasons to be cautious and like I said, the line smells funny. It feels like the Giants should be getting more points, even with Cooper Rush in at QB for Dallas. I just don’t see Big Blue turning things around in four days, or coming up with the effort and execution necessary to stay within a score. I’ll lay the three plus the hook, and I’ll enjoy my turkey, stuffing, cranberry sauce, and two pieces of pie just fine.

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2. Tyrone Tracy OVER 14.5 rushing yards, first quarter (-114). I usually avoid this type of bet, because it can be very reliant on who gets the first possession. If Dallas starts with the ball and goes on a seven-minute (or longer) drive, this prop will be hard to hit. But I couldn’t find many wagers that I liked (welcome to trying to handicap this team), and I think that Tracy should be busy early in the game as the Giants try to establish the line of scrimmage against the NFL’s 31^st-ranked run defense (151 yards per game allowed). New York might have to abandon the run later, but that won’t be the case in the first quarter.

3. Malik Nabers OVER 5.5 receptions (-114). The Giants’ prized rookie wideout was the loudest complainer after the embarrassing loss on Sunday. After not catching a pass in the first half, he nabbed six after halftime. He’s clearly way, way beyond frustrated with the play calling and QB play. Complaining (and calling out your coaches) can lead to bad results, but I think this time, the squeaky wheel is going to get some lubricant, in the form of a concerted effort to get the best playmaker involved throughout the game. Six catches feels doable, regardless of who plays QB (Tommy DeVito has an injured forearm and his status is up in the air). Nabers was targeted a whopping 15 times in the first meeting between the teams, securing 12 of them before leaving late with a concussion.

Those are the picks for Week 13. Good luck with your wagers!