100% accurate ranking of all 32 teams.
Now that Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season is in the books, it’s time for an incredibly meaningful and serious exercise: NFL Power Rankings! What differentiates these rankings from all the others is that they’re THE only truly accurate ones in the entire universe. We use a proprietary system that heavily accounts for all-important vibes. Let’s take a look at how all 32 teams stack up. (Click here for last week’s version.)
BLG’S WEEK 13 NFL POWER RANKINGS
1 – Detroit Lions (Last Week: 1) – “The Lions are now the fifth-best team measured by DVOA through 11 games.” — via FTN Fantasy
2 – Buffalo Bills (LW: 2) – If Miami loses in Green Bay on Thanksgiving night AND the Bills win their home game against the Niners, Buffalo will officially clinch the AFC East with five games remaining. Talk about division dominance.
3 – Kansas City Chiefs (LW: 3) – I wrote the following prior to KC’s Week 12 game: “The Chiefs will get back on track with a win but they never make it look easy so the Panthers will cover.” Sure enough, that’s exactly what happened. They’re not a style points team but they just win.
4 – Philadelphia Eagles (LW: 4) – Saquon Barkley. Need I say more? Actually, yes, I do. The Eagles have the NFL’s best yardage differential at +1259 (h/t good friend Jimmy Kempski). They have the third-best point differential at +97. They rank fifth in DVOA. No team has a better chance to prevent Detroit from representing the NFC in the Super Bowl.
5 – Baltimore Ravens (LW: 6) – John was the superior Harbaugh once again on Monday night. His courage to go for it from 4th-and-1 at the Ravens’ own 18-yard line contributed to a go-ahead touchdown drive that Baltimore never looked back from. With Pittsburgh losing to Cleveland on Thursday night, the Ravens are back in a good position to win the AFC North.
6 – Green Bay Packers (LW: 7) – Jordan Love just turned in his first game without a giveaway this season, though he was helped by some dropped picks. The Packers have won six of their last seven with the sole loss coming to Detroit.
7 – Minnesota Vikings (LW: 8) – Four straight wins has the Vikings in position to be the top wild card team in the NFC playoff picture. I could easily see Tampa beating them in the first round.
8 – Pittsburgh Steelers (LW: 5) – The Steelers blew an opportunity to win one of their easiest remaining games. Pittsburgh has the eighth-toughest schedule over the final six weeks. Four of the six are division games and the other two come against Philly and Kansas City.
9 – Denver Broncos (LW: 12) – Sean Payton, Coach of the Year? The Broncos’ over/under win total was 5.5 and they have seven wins with a rookie quarterback leading the way. Denver continues to appear better than their record indicates since they rank ninth in point differential and 10th in DVOA.
10 – Washington Commanders (LW: 9) – It looked like the Commanders might pull off another miracle win with more unsustainable late game luck. But instant regression came for them in the form of a missed extra point. Three straight losses has put a major dent in the Commanders’ hopes to win the NFC East. Pretty bad look for them to lose to Dallas as 10.5-point home favorites.
11 – Arizona Cardinals (LW: 10) – Jonathan Gannon’s team had a chance to cement themselves atop the NFC West and they did not take advantage.
12 – Los Angeles Chargers (LW: 11) – In the same game that John Harbaugh went for it from 4th-and-1 at his own 18-yard line, Jim Harbaugh punted in plus territory down 14 points with just over six minutes left in the game. The Football Gods punish cowardice.
13 – Seattle Seahawks (LW: 17) – Mike Macdonald’s defense did a nice job bottling up the San Francisco and Arizona offenses in back-to-back weeks. The Seahawks are currently on top of their division, though it’s hardly a commanding lead.
14 – San Francisco 49ers (LW: 13) – Hey, what’s that sound? It’s the 49ers’ window closing.
15 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (LW: 18) – The Bucs are ready to make a run at the NFC South lead. Their remaining schedule: at CAR, vs. LVR, at LAC, at DAL, vs. CAR, vs. NOR. They could feasibly win out.
16 – Miami Dolphins (LW: 19) – The Fins have three straight wins. As a result, they’re the eight team in the AFC playoff picture, just behind Denver in seventh. It’s probably too little, too late for them but they could sneak in the playoffs if another team stumbles.
17 – Cincinnati Bengals (LW: 16) – The Bengals return from their bye to host Pittsburgh. Must win to have a (still unlikely) shot at playing postseason football.
18 – Houston Texans (LW: 14) – Last week, we mentioned we’re “keeping the Texans on fraud watch.” We feel pretty good about that call after watching Houston lose at home to Will Levis. Losing to both Tennessee and NYJ this season is pretty unserious. They’re lucky to be playing in such a bad division.
19 – Los Angeles Rams (LW: 15) – Sunday night’s loss to the Eagles showed that the Rams aren’t quite ready to hang with the big boys at the moment. They’re still alive in a wide open division, though.
20 – Atlanta Falcons (LW: 20) – The Falcons return from their bye to host the Bolts. The pressure is on to prevent Tampa from overtaking them.
21 – Indianapolis Colts (LW: 21) – Anthony Richardson has a 65.4 passer rating in eight starts this season. He’s completing just 47.1% of his passes. He ranks 38th out of 38 quarterbacks in both of those categories. Probably not gonna cut it.
22 – Chicago Bears (LW: 23) – The Bears have come so close to beating Green Bay and Minnesota in back-to-back weeks. Close, but no cigar. On the bright side, Caleb Williams is showing promise.
23 – New Orleans Saints (LW: 24) – The Saints return from their bye to host the Rams. Then they play NYG next week. They’re probably not going to win their division but they’re not officially dead yet.
24 – Cleveland Browns (LW: 25) – Jameis Winston is helping the Browns play spoiler against their division rivals. So, they’ve got that going for them in an otherwise lost season.
25 – Dallas Cowboys (LW: 27) – Did you see the way those Cowboys players were playing for Mike McCarthy on Sunday? Jerry Jones would be very wise to sign him to an extension! Maybe it could actually happen?!
26 – New York Jets (LW: 22) – The Jets return from their bye to host the Seahawks. But, really, who cares. Clueless organization spinning their wheels.
27 – Tennessee Titans (LW: 28) – The Titans ruined their draft positioning with a win, which could make it harder to draft the best possible Will Levis replacement.
28 – New England Patriots (LW: 26) – The Pats have five games left to get the one more win that’ll put them above their projected 3.5 over/under win total.
29 – Carolina Panthers (LW: 30) – Bryce Young might not be a total lost cause? Him and the Panthers have looked more competent over their past three games.
30 – Las Vegas Raiders (LW: 29) – Seven straight losses for the Raiders. Will they win at least one of their last six? Remaining games: at KC, at TB, vs. ATL, vs. JAX, at NOR, vs. LAC.
31 – Jacksonville Jaguars (LW: 31) – The Jags return from their bye to host Houston. Trevor Lawrence might be back.
32 – New York Giants (LW: 32) – Playing Tommy DeVito is about tanking. The Giants are currently No. 2 in the 2025 NFL Draft order but there’s a good chance they’ll finish the season with No. 1.
