Wagers to consider as you fill out your tickets
Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 7 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. This week, the 2-4 Giants will play their second straight home game, and they’re hosting their most hated division rival, the 3-2 Philadelphia Eagles. If you want to argue it’s the Cowboys, fine, but I think the proximity to Philadelphia and its rabid fans (that’s the nicest adjective I’ll use) is the decisive factor. The Giants have already lost to their other two division foes this season, so this is a game they need badly if they’re going to be competitive in the NFC East. The Eagles have been in a funk since the middle of last season and aren’t the same team that went to the Super Bowl after the 2022 season. They haven’t won a game by more than one score since Week 7 of last season, and they barely survived a home date with the anemic Browns last week. This is a game that Big Blue can win. The spread is Philadelphia -3, with a game total of 42.5.
On the injury front, there’s good news and bad news. Receiver Malik Nabers returns this week after missing two games, as does running back Devin Singletary, but the team lost left tackle Andrew Thomas (foot) for the season and that’s a big loss. Defensive linemen Brian Burns and Dexter Lawrence are both listed as questionable but are expected to play. They’ve been game-wreckers of late. For the Eagles, they’ll be without tight end Dallas Goedert and tackle Jordan Mailata, and could be without starting cornerback Darius Slay.
It’s amazing that I made it this far into this article without mentioning Saquon Barkley. Saquon Barkley! There, I screamed his name. If you watched ‘Hard Knocks’ this offseason, you’re fully familiar with all the drama that saw the No. 2 overall pick in 2018 and face of the Giants’ franchise for the last six seasons relocating 100 miles down the Turnpike to the last team New York fans wanted to see him join. The Giants chose not to pay Barkley big money at the age of 27, and he’s been a bright spot for Philadelphia’s struggling offense. There are lots of other storylines and subplots for this game, as there always are with these teams, but we’ve got to get to the picks. I’ll just drop this one: These teams have played each other an astounding 183 times (including playoffs), with Philadelphia holding a 93-88-2 edge. Philadelphia is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings. The Giants won the most recent meeting (but it was Week 18, and Philadelphia did not need the game).
I went 1-2 last week, and I have to say, I’m finding the Giants maddening to predict. Their defense has been showing up, but their offense (and kicking game) mostly hasn’t. Anyway, I’ll try to do better this week. Full disclosure: I consulted with my two sons and nephew this week (all in their 20s). If my picks go awry, blame them, not me.
OK, let’s get to this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from FanDuel and are as of Saturday morning.
1. Game total UNDER 42.5 (-105). Every Giants game has gone under the total this season except for the Seattle game (which had a defensive TD, always a crusher for the under). Philadelphia’s games have gone under in three straight tries. The Giants handled Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins last week, and I’m not overly worried about Philadelphia’s duo of star wideouts running wild. This feels like a low-scoring, ball-control kind of game to me.
2. Saquon Barkley OVER 100.5 all-purpose yards (-113). I don’t think the Eagles will “try” to manufacture offense for Saquon in a revenge game. But they’ll need a steady dose of him this week and the Giants have been more vulnerable to the run than the pass. I expect him to be involved in the passing game (especially with Goedert out). I don’t like the juice on the Barkley Anytime TD prop (-165), but I do think it’s likely that he finds the endzone at least once.
3. Malik Nabers OVER 25 receiving yards in each half (+110). Nabers is back, and I think the Giants will waste no time in getting him the ball, against a vulnerable secondary. His receiving prop for the game is 73, so you’re getting a good discount off that, and getting plus-money to boot. Both-half bets can be tricky because of game script, but regardless of how things go, I don’t see Jones going away from his meal ticket.
Those are the picks for Week 7. Good luck with your wagers!