Week 4 best prop bets for Giants-Cowboys

Wagers to consider as you fill out your tickets

Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 4 edition! Each week, I’m giving you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. This column is up nice and early this week because it’s a short week for Big Blue.

The Giants host the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football – the first of three primetime games for New York. Both teams come in at 1-2, and an identical win-loss record isn’t all that they have in common. Each got its lone win against the same opponent, in the same stadium. The Giants got their first win of the season at Cleveland on Sunday, holding off a late Browns rally to escape with a 21-15 victory. Dallas won easily at Cleveland in Week 1, but then dropped two straight at home to the Saints and Ravens, and they trailed big in both games. Dallas came into the season as one of the NFC favorites but things aren’t going right for them on either side of the ball and they can’t afford to drop to 1-3. The Giants have played much better football the last two weeks (on the road) and are looking to build momentum and even their record at 2-2. The stellar play of rookie Malik Nabers right out of the gate has given beleaguered Giants fans a much-needed shot in the arm.

Dallas has dominated this series in recent years. Actually, I need a word that’s stronger than just “dominated”. The ‘Boys have won six in a row in the series, and 13 of the last 14. Last season, they outscored the Giants 89-17 in the two games played (that’s not a misprint), including a 40-0 whitewashing in Week 1 at MetLife Stadium. It’s no surprise that Fanduel has Dallas favored on the road. The spread is Dallas -5.5 (it opened at Dallas -4.5), with a game total of 45.5. We’ve got competing trends for the total: So far this season, all three Giant games have gone under, and all three Cowboy games have gone over. Hmm, what to do? The sides and the total are a stay-away for me. On the one hand, the home-‘dog Giants are showing signs of life and the Cowboys are stumbling, and I think New York can keep this game close or maybe even win outright. Unfortunately, I have two hands, and on the other one, Dallas totally has Big Blue’s number, needs the game more, and has a kicker who can hit from Newark Airport (while the Giants are relying on a castoff at the position). We should know by the end of the first quarter if we’re headed for another Dallas blowout. Rain is forecast at times during the game, but it doesn’t look too bad as of now.

I got back on the winning side last week, going 2-1. Woo-hoo! I’d like to personally thank Mr. Devin Singletary for deliberately going down on the 1-yard line at the two-minute warning, with nothing but green grass and an end-zone celebration in front of him. Not only was it the smart football play, but it preserved the under. Ka-ching!

OK, let’s get to this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from FanDuel , as of Wednesday morning, September 25.

Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images

1. CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD (-120). Lamb has 24 catches on the young season but only one TD, and his heated sideline exchange with Dak Prescott on Sunday was a sign of the team’s growing frustration. Dallas has struggled to run the ball (no surprise there—nice offseason, Jerry), and I expect CeeDee to be very busy on Thursday night. He lit up the Giants for 11 catches for 151 yards and a TD in the most recent meeting between the teams, and the Giants have struggled vs. opposing WR 1s this season. Justin Jefferson found the end zone in Week 1 and Amari Cooper found it twice in Week 3. Lamb is due, and Dak will want to get him involved early and often.

2. CeeDee Lamb OVER 6.5 receptions (-102). I don’t usually double up on a player, and if I do, it makes sense to find a parlay to get better juice for the concentrated risk. But I don’t do parlays for this column, so I’ll just go with the double-cut Lamb chop here and take my chances. I’ve already explained why I think he’s in for a high-volume game. He’s had seven or more receptions in five straight regular season games going back to last season. This line is a little suspicious, but I’ll take it anyway.

3. Daniel Jones YES interception (-114). To his credit, the oft-maligned Jones is playing decent football and hasn’t thrown a pick since tossing two to the Vikings in Week 1. If this game is anything like most of the recent DAL-NYG games, the Giants will be trailing and that will mean a lot of pass attempts, a lot of Micah Parsons harassing Jones, and some forced balls to Nabers. I don’t see Jones playing a completely clean game, and Dallas has ball hawks in the secondary.

Those are the picks for Week 4. Good luck with your wagers!