Week 3 best prop bets for Giants-Browns

Wagers to consider as you fill out your tickets

Welcome to the New York Giants betting angle, Week 3 edition! Each week, I’m going to give you my three favorite wagers for that week’s New York Giants game. The Giants dropped their second straight decision last week, falling to the Commanders 21-18. Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Big Blue became the first team in NFL history to lose a game where they scored at least three TDs, and gave up zero TDs. The G-Men will try to right the ship this week and it won’t be easy. Their second straight road game entails a trip to the Dawg Pound, and the hard-hitting Browns’ defense is particularly tough at home. Cleveland was 8-1 in home games last season, but dropped this year’s home opener to the Cowboys. The Browns are coming off a fairly ugly 18-13 win at Jacksonville. Good weather is forecast in Cleveland for the Sunday, 1 p.m. game, so there’s no need to worry about that in analyzing the slate. The Browns are favored by 6.5 points, with a game total of 38.5.

I’m off to a slow start with my picks this season, so I need to get it going this week! I feel good about this week’s tickets.

Through two games, the Giants are 0-2 ATS and both of their games have gone under the total. The Browns are 1-1 ATS. Neither of these teams has scored 20 points in a game so far this season, part of a league-wide trend of diminishing offense. This could be the week that more teams start to shake off the rust. Or we could be in for yet another week where a lot of offenses struggle. Time will tell, but Vegas is adjusting and the game and prop totals keep going lower. One piece of good news: The Giants WILL have a kicker available this week.

OK, let’s get to this week’s picks. All lines and odds are from FanDuel and are as of Friday morning.

Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images

1. Under the 38.5 game total. The Browns have some banged up players on defense, but I don’t think that will stop them from keeping the Giants to a low score. This is still a big-boy defense. The Commanders have one of the worst defenses in the league (maybe THE worst) and the Giants didn’t exactly light them up. I can see Jones and company struggling to get to 14 points. On the flip side, Deshaun Watson is off to another disappointing start, and with Nick Chubb on IR, this isn’t a scary offense. I do think the Browns will break 20 points, but not by much, and while 38.5 is low, I still think the under will cash.

2. Amari Cooper OVER 49.5 passing yards (-114). Cooper is off to a terrible start in 2024, with just five catches for 27 yards in two games. So why am I even thinking about this wager? Because Cooper leads the team in targets with 17, and is still a very skilled receiver. He and Watson have narrowly missed on a couple of big plays, and Cooper has always been a big-play threat. He only needs one long catch to hit this total, and I think that will happen this week against the Giants’ young secondary, which struggled to contain the Minnesota receivers in Week 1.

3. Daniel Jones UNDER 181.5 passing yards. The Browns have allowed 399 yards passing in two games combined, to Dak Prescott and Trevor Lawrence. Jones has never been a prolific passer who puts up the kind of yardage totals as those two. I think he’ll be under constant duress and will struggle to sustain drives in this game. He came in just under this yardage total last week, against an inferior defense. If Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward are limited with injuries, that will help. Ward is battling a shoulder injury and only played 11 snaps last week. Jones funneled 18 of 27 attempts last week to Malik Nabers, and while I can’t fault him for targeting his best weapon, he needs to mix in the rest of the crew to get to this total against a very good defense. I don’t see it happening. Take the under.

Those are the picks for Week 3. Good luck with your wagers!